Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates sunny skies and light winds for Seattle on August 25, supporting highs in the low to mid-80s°F as the primary driver of trader consensus around the 82–85°F bins. Offshore flow and a developing thermal trough are expected to limit marine cooling while allowing daytime warming above the 75.6°F climatological average, though patchy smoke or haze from regional wildfires may modestly suppress peak readings. Model runs show limited spread, with most projecting 81–85°F at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum observation, which can vary slightly by exact station and timing of any afternoon cloud or smoke changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 16%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
6%
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 16%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates sunny skies and light winds for Seattle on August 25, supporting highs in the low to mid-80s°F as the primary driver of trader consensus around the 82–85°F bins. Offshore flow and a developing thermal trough are expected to limit marine cooling while allowing daytime warming above the 75.6°F climatological average, though patchy smoke or haze from regional wildfires may modestly suppress peak readings. Model runs show limited spread, with most projecting 81–85°F at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum observation, which can vary slightly by exact station and timing of any afternoon cloud or smoke changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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