Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 60–64 °F in Denver on August 25, driven by late-summer radiative cooling at 5,280 ft elevation under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm chances. Clearer intervals after any evening convection would allow stronger surface heat loss, while residual cloud cover or light winds could limit the drop; historical August normals place the mean low near 58–61 °F with a typical range of 51–67 °F. The tightly clustered market prices around the 58–65 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast envelope and modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, leaving limited room for outliers below 56 °F or above 67 °F absent an unexpected frontal passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 25?
62-63°F 35%
64-65°F 32%
58-59°F 25%
60-61°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
17%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
24%
62-63°F 35%
64-65°F 32%
58-59°F 25%
60-61°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
$5 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
11%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
10%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
25%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
35%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
32%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
2%
72°F or higher
$5 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 60–64 °F in Denver on August 25, driven by late-summer radiative cooling at 5,280 ft elevation under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm chances. Clearer intervals after any evening convection would allow stronger surface heat loss, while residual cloud cover or light winds could limit the drop; historical August normals place the mean low near 58–61 °F with a typical range of 51–67 °F. The tightly clustered market prices around the 58–65 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast envelope and modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, leaving limited room for outliers below 56 °F or above 67 °F absent an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 60–64 °F in Denver on August 25, driven by late-summer radiative cooling at 5,280 ft elevation under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm chances. Clearer intervals after any evening convection would allow stronger surface heat loss, while residual cloud cover or light winds could limit the drop; historical August normals place the mean low near 58–61 °F with a typical range of 51–67 °F. The tightly clustered market prices around the 58–65 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast envelope and modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, leaving limited room for outliers below 56 °F or above 67 °F absent an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 60–64 °F in Denver on August 25, driven by late-summer radiative cooling at 5,280 ft elevation under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm chances. Clearer intervals after any evening convection would allow stronger surface heat loss, while residual cloud cover or light winds could limit the drop; historical August normals place the mean low near 58–61 °F with a typical range of 51–67 °F. The tightly clustered market prices around the 58–65 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast envelope and modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, leaving limited room for outliers below 56 °F or above 67 °F absent an unexpected frontal passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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