Trader consensus on the Panama City highest temperature market centers on 30–32°C for August 25, reflecting model agreement for typical late-summer conditions with highs near the long-term August average of ~30–32°C. Persistent high humidity, light steering winds, and a 70–90% chance of afternoon thunderstorms—per NHC and local forecasts—favor scattered convection that caps daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong ridge or dry air mass to push readings toward 34°C or above, while historical data indicate extremes above 33°C occur infrequently in this period. Updated guidance expected from NOAA and regional meteorological services tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
32°C 31%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
21%
31°C
26%
32°C
31%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 31%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$10 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5 Vol.
6%
29°C
$22 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
21%
31°C
$21 Vol.
26%
32°C
$41 Vol.
31%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C
$45 Vol.
3%
35°C
$5 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Panama City highest temperature market centers on 30–32°C for August 25, reflecting model agreement for typical late-summer conditions with highs near the long-term August average of ~30–32°C. Persistent high humidity, light steering winds, and a 70–90% chance of afternoon thunderstorms—per NHC and local forecasts—favor scattered convection that caps daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong ridge or dry air mass to push readings toward 34°C or above, while historical data indicate extremes above 33°C occur infrequently in this period. Updated guidance expected from NOAA and regional meteorological services tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$153End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Panama City highest temperature market centers on 30–32°C for August 25, reflecting model agreement for typical late-summer conditions with highs near the long-term August average of ~30–32°C. Persistent high humidity, light steering winds, and a 70–90% chance of afternoon thunderstorms—per NHC and local forecasts—favor scattered convection that caps daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong ridge or dry air mass to push readings toward 34°C or above, while historical data indicate extremes above 33°C occur infrequently in this period. Updated guidance expected from NOAA and regional meteorological services tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$153End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Panama City highest temperature market centers on 30–32°C for August 25, reflecting model agreement for typical late-summer conditions with highs near the long-term August average of ~30–32°C. Persistent high humidity, light steering winds, and a 70–90% chance of afternoon thunderstorms—per NHC and local forecasts—favor scattered convection that caps daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong ridge or dry air mass to push readings toward 34°C or above, while historical data indicate extremes above 33°C occur infrequently in this period. Updated guidance expected from NOAA and regional meteorological services tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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