Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most likely daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 23 because numerical weather models show typical wet-season convection and cloud cover capping surface heating near the 30–31°C seasonal norm. Afternoon thunderstorms, often triggered by diurnal heating and moisture convergence, reduce insolation while high humidity (70–80%) and moderate northwest winds enhance evaporative cooling and limit further warming. Slight forecast spreads arise from variable convective timing and intensity across model runs, creating the tight 31°C versus 32°C market split; historical August averages near 31°C and the absence of atypical large-scale drivers such as strong ENSO influences reinforce this narrow range as real-time observations update throughout the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
31°C 41%
32°C 33%
30°C 18%
33°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
18%
31°C
41%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 41%
32°C 33%
30°C 18%
33°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$824 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$654 Vol.
1%
28°C
$490 Vol.
3%
29°C
$694 Vol.
4%
30°C
$742 Vol.
18%
31°C
$686 Vol.
41%
32°C
$921 Vol.
33%
33°C
$484 Vol.
9%
34°C or higher
$366 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most likely daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 23 because numerical weather models show typical wet-season convection and cloud cover capping surface heating near the 30–31°C seasonal norm. Afternoon thunderstorms, often triggered by diurnal heating and moisture convergence, reduce insolation while high humidity (70–80%) and moderate northwest winds enhance evaporative cooling and limit further warming. Slight forecast spreads arise from variable convective timing and intensity across model runs, creating the tight 31°C versus 32°C market split; historical August averages near 31°C and the absence of atypical large-scale drivers such as strong ENSO influences reinforce this narrow range as real-time observations update throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$6,469End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most likely daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 23 because numerical weather models show typical wet-season convection and cloud cover capping surface heating near the 30–31°C seasonal norm. Afternoon thunderstorms, often triggered by diurnal heating and moisture convergence, reduce insolation while high humidity (70–80%) and moderate northwest winds enhance evaporative cooling and limit further warming. Slight forecast spreads arise from variable convective timing and intensity across model runs, creating the tight 31°C versus 32°C market split; historical August averages near 31°C and the absence of atypical large-scale drivers such as strong ENSO influences reinforce this narrow range as real-time observations update throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,469End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most likely daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 23 because numerical weather models show typical wet-season convection and cloud cover capping surface heating near the 30–31°C seasonal norm. Afternoon thunderstorms, often triggered by diurnal heating and moisture convergence, reduce insolation while high humidity (70–80%) and moderate northwest winds enhance evaporative cooling and limit further warming. Slight forecast spreads arise from variable convective timing and intensity across model runs, creating the tight 31°C versus 32°C market split; historical August averages near 31°C and the absence of atypical large-scale drivers such as strong ENSO influences reinforce this narrow range as real-time observations update throughout the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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