**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C for Panama City on August 24, driving the market's tight clustering between 32°C (40%) and 33°C (31%).** In Panama's humid tropical climate during the wet season, peak temperatures depend heavily on cloud cover, timing of convective thunderstorms, and moisture advection, which can suppress highs by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation or enhance them under clearer intervals. August climatology shows typical highs around 31°C, with recent model runs reflecting stable steering patterns and high precipitable water favoring afternoon convection that limits extreme readings. Traders weigh these variables against minor model spreads in boundary-layer conditions and storm initiation, producing near-even implied probabilities for the two leading outcomes while discounting outliers above 34°C or below 30°C given the narrow forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
32°C 41%
33°C 30%
31°C 20%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
20%
32°C
41%
33°C
30%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 41%
33°C 30%
31°C 20%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$79 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$28 Vol.
41%
33°C
$12 Vol.
30%
34°C
$10 Vol.
5%
35°C
$63 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C for Panama City on August 24, driving the market's tight clustering between 32°C (40%) and 33°C (31%).** In Panama's humid tropical climate during the wet season, peak temperatures depend heavily on cloud cover, timing of convective thunderstorms, and moisture advection, which can suppress highs by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation or enhance them under clearer intervals. August climatology shows typical highs around 31°C, with recent model runs reflecting stable steering patterns and high precipitable water favoring afternoon convection that limits extreme readings. Traders weigh these variables against minor model spreads in boundary-layer conditions and storm initiation, producing near-even implied probabilities for the two leading outcomes while discounting outliers above 34°C or below 30°C given the narrow forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$217End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C for Panama City on August 24, driving the market's tight clustering between 32°C (40%) and 33°C (31%).** In Panama's humid tropical climate during the wet season, peak temperatures depend heavily on cloud cover, timing of convective thunderstorms, and moisture advection, which can suppress highs by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation or enhance them under clearer intervals. August climatology shows typical highs around 31°C, with recent model runs reflecting stable steering patterns and high precipitable water favoring afternoon convection that limits extreme readings. Traders weigh these variables against minor model spreads in boundary-layer conditions and storm initiation, producing near-even implied probabilities for the two leading outcomes while discounting outliers above 34°C or below 30°C given the narrow forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$217End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C for Panama City on August 24, driving the market's tight clustering between 32°C (40%) and 33°C (31%).** In Panama's humid tropical climate during the wet season, peak temperatures depend heavily on cloud cover, timing of convective thunderstorms, and moisture advection, which can suppress highs by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation or enhance them under clearer intervals. August climatology shows typical highs around 31°C, with recent model runs reflecting stable steering patterns and high precipitable water favoring afternoon convection that limits extreme readings. Traders weigh these variables against minor model spreads in boundary-layer conditions and storm initiation, producing near-even implied probabilities for the two leading outcomes while discounting outliers above 34°C or below 30°C given the narrow forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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