Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C amid typical August rainy-season conditions, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22°C. High atmospheric moisture, persistent cloud cover from convective activity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under the Intertropical Convergence Zone suppress temperature drops compared with drier periods. Recent model runs show modest variability tied to steering winds and localized rainfall timing, with official monitoring emphasizing uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Traders appear focused on potential for enhanced cooling if skies clear earlier than expected, balanced against climatological baselines where minimums rarely fall below 23–24°C in this period. Updated forecasts and observational data later today will refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
21°C 97%
20°C or below 95%
22°C 95%
26°C 48.8%
$1,518 Vol.
$1,518 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
95%
21°C
97%
22°C
95%
23°C
33%
24°C
34%
25°C
45%
26°C
49%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 97%
20°C or below 95%
22°C 95%
26°C 48.8%
$1,518 Vol.
$1,518 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
95%
21°C
$10 Vol.
97%
22°C
$15 Vol.
95%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$10 Vol.
49%
27°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$988 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C amid typical August rainy-season conditions, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22°C. High atmospheric moisture, persistent cloud cover from convective activity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under the Intertropical Convergence Zone suppress temperature drops compared with drier periods. Recent model runs show modest variability tied to steering winds and localized rainfall timing, with official monitoring emphasizing uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Traders appear focused on potential for enhanced cooling if skies clear earlier than expected, balanced against climatological baselines where minimums rarely fall below 23–24°C in this period. Updated forecasts and observational data later today will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,518End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C amid typical August rainy-season conditions, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22°C. High atmospheric moisture, persistent cloud cover from convective activity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under the Intertropical Convergence Zone suppress temperature drops compared with drier periods. Recent model runs show modest variability tied to steering winds and localized rainfall timing, with official monitoring emphasizing uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Traders appear focused on potential for enhanced cooling if skies clear earlier than expected, balanced against climatological baselines where minimums rarely fall below 23–24°C in this period. Updated forecasts and observational data later today will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,518End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C amid typical August rainy-season conditions, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22°C. High atmospheric moisture, persistent cloud cover from convective activity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under the Intertropical Convergence Zone suppress temperature drops compared with drier periods. Recent model runs show modest variability tied to steering winds and localized rainfall timing, with official monitoring emphasizing uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Traders appear focused on potential for enhanced cooling if skies clear earlier than expected, balanced against climatological baselines where minimums rarely fall below 23–24°C in this period. Updated forecasts and observational data later today will refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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