Trader consensus around 22–23°C for Mexico City’s August 25 high reflects the ongoing rainy season’s typical cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit solar heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Long-term August averages near 24°C are moderated by frequent tropical waves and convective activity that increase humidity and reduce insolation, keeping daily maxima in the low 20s°C according to recent model guidance. With resolution tied to official CONAGUA observations, the concentrated probabilities on 22–24°C capture the narrow range expected under these stable late-summer conditions, while lower odds on extremes account for minor forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 37%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
13%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
20%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
7%
23°C 37%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C
$7 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$2 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$8 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 22–23°C for Mexico City’s August 25 high reflects the ongoing rainy season’s typical cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit solar heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Long-term August averages near 24°C are moderated by frequent tropical waves and convective activity that increase humidity and reduce insolation, keeping daily maxima in the low 20s°C according to recent model guidance. With resolution tied to official CONAGUA observations, the concentrated probabilities on 22–24°C capture the narrow range expected under these stable late-summer conditions, while lower odds on extremes account for minor forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$42End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 22–23°C for Mexico City’s August 25 high reflects the ongoing rainy season’s typical cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit solar heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Long-term August averages near 24°C are moderated by frequent tropical waves and convective activity that increase humidity and reduce insolation, keeping daily maxima in the low 20s°C according to recent model guidance. With resolution tied to official CONAGUA observations, the concentrated probabilities on 22–24°C capture the narrow range expected under these stable late-summer conditions, while lower odds on extremes account for minor forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 22–23°C for Mexico City’s August 25 high reflects the ongoing rainy season’s typical cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit solar heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Long-term August averages near 24°C are moderated by frequent tropical waves and convective activity that increase humidity and reduce insolation, keeping daily maxima in the low 20s°C according to recent model guidance. With resolution tied to official CONAGUA observations, the concentrated probabilities on 22–24°C capture the narrow range expected under these stable late-summer conditions, while lower odds on extremes account for minor forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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