The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, drives trader sentiment on countries reporting cases this year. Rapid community transmission in Ituri and neighboring provinces has produced over 5,500 confirmed cases and 2,600 deaths through late August, with cross-border spread triggering 20 cases in Uganda before that outbreak ended in July. Neighboring nations face elevated risk from porous borders, population movement, and travel links, while international response efforts, contact tracing, and isolation protocols aim to limit further geographic expansion. Market-implied odds reflect these containment dynamics and historical patterns of regional flare-ups, with attention on any new confirmed detections before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$34,617 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
South Sudan
62%
Rwanda
28%
Burundi
29%
United States
24%
Canada
28%
Kenya
54%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
27%
Nigeria
16%
Ethiopia
50%
Somalia
35%
China
11%
$34,617 Vol.
South Sudan
$2,147 Vol.
62%
Rwanda
$2,128 Vol.
28%
Burundi
$200 Vol.
29%
United States
$10,195 Vol.
24%
Canada
$1,222 Vol.
28%
Kenya
$195 Vol.
54%
India
$732 Vol.
14%
Republic of the Congo
$12,170 Vol.
27%
Nigeria
$25 Vol.
16%
Ethiopia
$65 Vol.
50%
Somalia
$71 Vol.
35%
China
$3,512 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, drives trader sentiment on countries reporting cases this year. Rapid community transmission in Ituri and neighboring provinces has produced over 5,500 confirmed cases and 2,600 deaths through late August, with cross-border spread triggering 20 cases in Uganda before that outbreak ended in July. Neighboring nations face elevated risk from porous borders, population movement, and travel links, while international response efforts, contact tracing, and isolation protocols aim to limit further geographic expansion. Market-implied odds reflect these containment dynamics and historical patterns of regional flare-ups, with attention on any new confirmed detections before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Volume
$34,617End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, drives trader sentiment on countries reporting cases this year. Rapid community transmission in Ituri and neighboring provinces has produced over 5,500 confirmed cases and 2,600 deaths through late August, with cross-border spread triggering 20 cases in Uganda before that outbreak ended in July. Neighboring nations face elevated risk from porous borders, population movement, and travel links, while international response efforts, contact tracing, and isolation protocols aim to limit further geographic expansion. Market-implied odds reflect these containment dynamics and historical patterns of regional flare-ups, with attention on any new confirmed detections before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$34,617End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May 2026, drives trader sentiment on countries reporting cases this year. Rapid community transmission in Ituri and neighboring provinces has produced over 5,500 confirmed cases and 2,600 deaths through late August, with cross-border spread triggering 20 cases in Uganda before that outbreak ended in July. Neighboring nations face elevated risk from porous borders, population movement, and travel links, while international response efforts, contact tracing, and isolation protocols aim to limit further geographic expansion. Market-implied odds reflect these containment dynamics and historical patterns of regional flare-ups, with attention on any new confirmed detections before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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