Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?

Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?

icon for Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?

Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

27°C 34%

26°C 24%

28°C 18%

25°C 11%

Polymarket
NEW

27°C 34%

26°C 24%

28°C 18%

25°C 11%

Polymarket
NEW

22°C or below

$354 Vol.

1%

23°C

$198 Vol.

2%

24°C

$173 Vol.

2%

25°C

$322 Vol.

11%

26°C

$485 Vol.

24%

27°C

$511 Vol.

34%

28°C

$374 Vol.

18%

29°C

$333 Vol.

7%

30°C

$79 Vol.

2%

31°C

$35 Vol.

2%

32°C or higher

$5 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models place Paris’s maximum temperature on August 25 around 26–28°C under weak high pressure and modest southerly flow, producing the market’s concentration around those bins. Partly cloudy skies and light winds limit daytime heating while allowing modest warm-air advection, keeping extremes below 30°C and above 25°C unlikely. Higher outcomes (29°C+) would require clearer skies and stronger advection, scenarios models currently discount, whereas lower values (25°C or below) hinge on increased cloud cover or showers that could suppress the peak. The wide probability spread reflects model spread on exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, with traders weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from official agencies as the primary drivers.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,870
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models place Paris’s maximum temperature on August 25 around 26–28°C under weak high pressure and modest southerly flow, producing the market’s concentration around those bins. Partly cloudy skies and light winds limit daytime heating while allowing modest warm-air advection, keeping extremes below 30°C and above 25°C unlikely. Higher outcomes (29°C+) would require clearer skies and stronger advection, scenarios models currently discount, whereas lower values (25°C or below) hinge on increased cloud cover or showers that could suppress the peak. The wide probability spread reflects model spread on exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, with traders weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from official agencies as the primary drivers.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,870
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 25?

39%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 23?

100%
icon for Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?

32%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 34%, followed by "26°C" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?" is "27°C" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26°C" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.