Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on August 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 16°C (53.5%) and 15°C (33.0%), as late-summer climatology shows declining highs averaging around 17–19°C by this date. Minor model differences in frontal timing or cloud thickness could shift the peak by roughly 1°C, explaining the smaller probabilities assigned to 17°C and higher. Official hourly observations through midday will further refine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 23?
16°C 56%
15°C 29%
17°C 8%
18°C 2%
$15,245 Vol.
$15,245 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
29%
16°C
56%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 56%
15°C 29%
17°C 8%
18°C 2%
$15,245 Vol.
$15,245 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
29%
16°C
56%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on August 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 16°C (53.5%) and 15°C (33.0%), as late-summer climatology shows declining highs averaging around 17–19°C by this date. Minor model differences in frontal timing or cloud thickness could shift the peak by roughly 1°C, explaining the smaller probabilities assigned to 17°C and higher. Official hourly observations through midday will further refine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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