Recent forecasts from Météo-France and aligned models indicate a minimum near 13°C in Paris on August 23 under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that support moderate overnight radiative cooling without excessive heat loss. This aligns with the seasonal late-August decline in average lows toward 13–14°C, reinforced by suppressed daytime heating from scattered showers and lighter winds that limit heat retention in the urban boundary layer. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for 13°C reflects this model agreement and historical climatology, though modest shifts remain possible if unexpected clear-sky radiative enhancement or warmer air advection develops before the overnight minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
13°C 98%
11°C 2%
12°C <1%
9°C <1%
$7,549 Vol.
$7,549 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 98%
11°C 2%
12°C <1%
9°C <1%
$7,549 Vol.
$7,549 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$233 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$350 Vol.
1%
10°C
$878 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$502 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,635 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,325 Vol.
98%
14°C
$756 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$688 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and aligned models indicate a minimum near 13°C in Paris on August 23 under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that support moderate overnight radiative cooling without excessive heat loss. This aligns with the seasonal late-August decline in average lows toward 13–14°C, reinforced by suppressed daytime heating from scattered showers and lighter winds that limit heat retention in the urban boundary layer. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for 13°C reflects this model agreement and historical climatology, though modest shifts remain possible if unexpected clear-sky radiative enhancement or warmer air advection develops before the overnight minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,549End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and aligned models indicate a minimum near 13°C in Paris on August 23 under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that support moderate overnight radiative cooling without excessive heat loss. This aligns with the seasonal late-August decline in average lows toward 13–14°C, reinforced by suppressed daytime heating from scattered showers and lighter winds that limit heat retention in the urban boundary layer. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for 13°C reflects this model agreement and historical climatology, though modest shifts remain possible if unexpected clear-sky radiative enhancement or warmer air advection develops before the overnight minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,549End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and aligned models indicate a minimum near 13°C in Paris on August 23 under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that support moderate overnight radiative cooling without excessive heat loss. This aligns with the seasonal late-August decline in average lows toward 13–14°C, reinforced by suppressed daytime heating from scattered showers and lighter winds that limit heat retention in the urban boundary layer. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for 13°C reflects this model agreement and historical climatology, though modest shifts remain possible if unexpected clear-sky radiative enhancement or warmer air advection develops before the overnight minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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