**Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF consensus project an overnight minimum near 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels that limit stronger temperature drops.** This aligns with Paris’s climatological average low of about 14–15°C for the date, as seasonal cooling progresses after peak summer warmth without any anomalous warm advection or cold-air outbreak in current analyses. Recent model runs show stable conditions with no significant frontal passages expected overnight, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–16°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Traders are weighting these ensemble forecasts heavily, as the market resolves against official station readings at Paris-Le Bourget.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 24?
14°C 44%
15°C 31%
13°C 15%
16°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
15%
14°C
44%
15°C
31%
16°C
11%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
14°C 44%
15°C 31%
13°C 15%
16°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
11°C or below
$15 Vol.
2%
12°C
$26 Vol.
4%
13°C
$345 Vol.
15%
14°C
$1,635 Vol.
44%
15°C
$273 Vol.
31%
16°C
$30 Vol.
11%
17°C
$15 Vol.
1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$116 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF consensus project an overnight minimum near 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels that limit stronger temperature drops.**
This aligns with Paris’s climatological average low of about 14–15°C for the date, as seasonal cooling progresses after peak summer warmth without any anomalous warm advection or cold-air outbreak in current analyses. Recent model runs show stable conditions with no significant frontal passages expected overnight, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–16°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Traders are weighting these ensemble forecasts heavily, as the market resolves against official station readings at Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,480End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF consensus project an overnight minimum near 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels that limit stronger temperature drops.**
This aligns with Paris’s climatological average low of about 14–15°C for the date, as seasonal cooling progresses after peak summer warmth without any anomalous warm advection or cold-air outbreak in current analyses. Recent model runs show stable conditions with no significant frontal passages expected overnight, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–16°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Traders are weighting these ensemble forecasts heavily, as the market resolves against official station readings at Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,480End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF consensus project an overnight minimum near 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels that limit stronger temperature drops.** This aligns with Paris’s climatological average low of about 14–15°C for the date, as seasonal cooling progresses after peak summer warmth without any anomalous warm advection or cold-air outbreak in current analyses. Recent model runs show stable conditions with no significant frontal passages expected overnight, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–16°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Traders are weighting these ensemble forecasts heavily, as the market resolves against official station readings at Paris-Le Bourget.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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