The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, centered in Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited cross-border cases in Uganda, has reached thousands of confirmed infections and deaths since May but remains regionally contained under a WHO Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Official CDC and WHO assessments cite very low global and U.S. risk due to robust surveillance, contact tracing, isolation protocols, and the virus's lower transmissibility compared to Zaire ebolavirus strains. No sustained international chains or cases outside Africa have emerged, aligning with historical patterns where most Ebola events stay localized. Trader consensus at 96.3% for "No" reflects this evidence, though realistic shifts could occur from undetected urban amplification, increased travel-related exports, or significant changes in case trajectories before year-end reporting thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% chance
$691,757 Vol.
$691,757 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% chance
$691,757 Vol.
$691,757 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, centered in Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited cross-border cases in Uganda, has reached thousands of confirmed infections and deaths since May but remains regionally contained under a WHO Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Official CDC and WHO assessments cite very low global and U.S. risk due to robust surveillance, contact tracing, isolation protocols, and the virus's lower transmissibility compared to Zaire ebolavirus strains. No sustained international chains or cases outside Africa have emerged, aligning with historical patterns where most Ebola events stay localized. Trader consensus at 96.3% for "No" reflects this evidence, though realistic shifts could occur from undetected urban amplification, increased travel-related exports, or significant changes in case trajectories before year-end reporting thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volume
$691,757End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, centered in Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited cross-border cases in Uganda, has reached thousands of confirmed infections and deaths since May but remains regionally contained under a WHO Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Official CDC and WHO assessments cite very low global and U.S. risk due to robust surveillance, contact tracing, isolation protocols, and the virus's lower transmissibility compared to Zaire ebolavirus strains. No sustained international chains or cases outside Africa have emerged, aligning with historical patterns where most Ebola events stay localized. Trader consensus at 96.3% for "No" reflects this evidence, though realistic shifts could occur from undetected urban amplification, increased travel-related exports, or significant changes in case trajectories before year-end reporting thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$691,757End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, centered in Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited cross-border cases in Uganda, has reached thousands of confirmed infections and deaths since May but remains regionally contained under a WHO Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Official CDC and WHO assessments cite very low global and U.S. risk due to robust surveillance, contact tracing, isolation protocols, and the virus's lower transmissibility compared to Zaire ebolavirus strains. No sustained international chains or cases outside Africa have emerged, aligning with historical patterns where most Ebola events stay localized. Trader consensus at 96.3% for "No" reflects this evidence, though realistic shifts could occur from undetected urban amplification, increased travel-related exports, or significant changes in case trajectories before year-end reporting thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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