Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Karachi on August 16, driven by climatological norms during the southwest monsoon season when average daily maxima typically reach 31–32°C amid persistently hot and humid conditions. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates confirm ongoing hot, humid weather across the region with only weak monsoon incursions likely to produce isolated rain or thundershowers that could modestly suppress afternoon peaks. Forecast models show limited day-to-day variability through mid-August, supporting trader consensus around the long-term baseline rather than extremes. Inherent uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convection, with fresh model runs and official PMD briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
32°C 55%
31°C 21%
33°C 16%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
55%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 21%
33°C 16%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$72 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$24 Vol.
1%
29°C
$73 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
7%
31°C
$48 Vol.
21%
32°C
$93 Vol.
55%
33°C
$0 Vol.
16%
34°C
$1 Vol.
5%
35°C
$10 Vol.
7%
36°C
$10 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Karachi on August 16, driven by climatological norms during the southwest monsoon season when average daily maxima typically reach 31–32°C amid persistently hot and humid conditions. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates confirm ongoing hot, humid weather across the region with only weak monsoon incursions likely to produce isolated rain or thundershowers that could modestly suppress afternoon peaks. Forecast models show limited day-to-day variability through mid-August, supporting trader consensus around the long-term baseline rather than extremes. Inherent uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convection, with fresh model runs and official PMD briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$421End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Karachi on August 16, driven by climatological norms during the southwest monsoon season when average daily maxima typically reach 31–32°C amid persistently hot and humid conditions. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates confirm ongoing hot, humid weather across the region with only weak monsoon incursions likely to produce isolated rain or thundershowers that could modestly suppress afternoon peaks. Forecast models show limited day-to-day variability through mid-August, supporting trader consensus around the long-term baseline rather than extremes. Inherent uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convection, with fresh model runs and official PMD briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$421End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Karachi on August 16, driven by climatological norms during the southwest monsoon season when average daily maxima typically reach 31–32°C amid persistently hot and humid conditions. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates confirm ongoing hot, humid weather across the region with only weak monsoon incursions likely to produce isolated rain or thundershowers that could modestly suppress afternoon peaks. Forecast models show limited day-to-day variability through mid-August, supporting trader consensus around the long-term baseline rather than extremes. Inherent uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convection, with fresh model runs and official PMD briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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