**Forecast consensus from official sources like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Amsterdam on August 16, 2026**, following a sharp cooldown from midweek highs above 30°C. Northerly flow behind departing high pressure is advecting cooler maritime air, while increasing cloud cover and possible light showers are expected to limit peak solar heating and surface warming compared with clearer prior days. Model outputs show minor spread in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight 39%–37% split between the 23°C and 22°C outcomes. Historical August climatology (average high near 21–22°C) and urban heat-island effects in Amsterdam further anchor trader expectations within this narrow range, with resolution depending on official KNMI observations of the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
23°C 39%
22°C 35%
24°C 15%
21°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
35%
23°C
39%
24°C
15%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 35%
24°C 15%
21°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
3%
20°C
$142 Vol.
3%
21°C
$122 Vol.
9%
22°C
$229 Vol.
35%
23°C
$224 Vol.
39%
24°C
$86 Vol.
15%
25°C
$132 Vol.
3%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Amsterdam on August 16, 2026**, following a sharp cooldown from midweek highs above 30°C. Northerly flow behind departing high pressure is advecting cooler maritime air, while increasing cloud cover and possible light showers are expected to limit peak solar heating and surface warming compared with clearer prior days.
Model outputs show minor spread in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight 39%–37% split between the 23°C and 22°C outcomes. Historical August climatology (average high near 21–22°C) and urban heat-island effects in Amsterdam further anchor trader expectations within this narrow range, with resolution depending on official KNMI observations of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,343End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Amsterdam on August 16, 2026**, following a sharp cooldown from midweek highs above 30°C. Northerly flow behind departing high pressure is advecting cooler maritime air, while increasing cloud cover and possible light showers are expected to limit peak solar heating and surface warming compared with clearer prior days.
Model outputs show minor spread in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight 39%–37% split between the 23°C and 22°C outcomes. Historical August climatology (average high near 21–22°C) and urban heat-island effects in Amsterdam further anchor trader expectations within this narrow range, with resolution depending on official KNMI observations of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,343End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official sources like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Amsterdam on August 16, 2026**, following a sharp cooldown from midweek highs above 30°C. Northerly flow behind departing high pressure is advecting cooler maritime air, while increasing cloud cover and possible light showers are expected to limit peak solar heating and surface warming compared with clearer prior days. Model outputs show minor spread in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight 39%–37% split between the 23°C and 22°C outcomes. Historical August climatology (average high near 21–22°C) and urban heat-island effects in Amsterdam further anchor trader expectations within this narrow range, with resolution depending on official KNMI observations of the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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