Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF shows a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, following mid-week highs near 32–33°C, as northerly flow advects cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover and a chance of light showers or thundershowers. This setup caps daytime maxima near 25–26°C, with trader sentiment clustering tightly around those thresholds because even modest differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages hover near 22°C, so the current pattern reflects a transient Atlantic influence rather than persistent heat. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution criteria around exact maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 15?
26°C 32%
27°C 30%
25°C 19%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
32%
27°C
30%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 30%
25°C 19%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$362 Vol.
1%
21°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$322 Vol.
1%
23°C
$248 Vol.
4%
24°C
$330 Vol.
13%
25°C
$31 Vol.
19%
26°C
$28 Vol.
32%
27°C
$90 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$37 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF shows a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, following mid-week highs near 32–33°C, as northerly flow advects cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover and a chance of light showers or thundershowers. This setup caps daytime maxima near 25–26°C, with trader sentiment clustering tightly around those thresholds because even modest differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages hover near 22°C, so the current pattern reflects a transient Atlantic influence rather than persistent heat. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution criteria around exact maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,474End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF shows a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, following mid-week highs near 32–33°C, as northerly flow advects cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover and a chance of light showers or thundershowers. This setup caps daytime maxima near 25–26°C, with trader sentiment clustering tightly around those thresholds because even modest differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages hover near 22°C, so the current pattern reflects a transient Atlantic influence rather than persistent heat. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution criteria around exact maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,474End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF shows a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, following mid-week highs near 32–33°C, as northerly flow advects cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover and a chance of light showers or thundershowers. This setup caps daytime maxima near 25–26°C, with trader sentiment clustering tightly around those thresholds because even modest differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages hover near 22°C, so the current pattern reflects a transient Atlantic influence rather than persistent heat. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution criteria around exact maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions