**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 29°C for Wuhan on August 13, 2026, with thundery showers or light rain expected under northerly winds.** This aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 28–29°C, reflecting trader assessment of modest cooling from typical midsummer conditions. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface heating by limiting solar insolation, while evaporative cooling from showers and higher humidity further cap the daily maximum. In Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate, August averages often exceed 30–35°C under clear skies, but the current synoptic setup with instability and moisture advection introduces convective activity that moderates temperatures. The tight 33.5%–32.5% split between 28°C and 29°C stems from ensemble model spread on the precise timing and coverage of showers during afternoon peak heating hours. Minor differences in wind speed, cloud thickness, or rainfall onset can shift the observed high by 1°C. Upcoming model updates and observational data on regional moisture and instability will likely refine this narrow range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 13?
28°C 34%
29°C 33%
27°C 19%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
19%
28°C
34%
29°C
33%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 34%
29°C 33%
27°C 19%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$593 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$689 Vol.
1%
25°C
$652 Vol.
3%
26°C
$194 Vol.
6%
27°C
$1,000 Vol.
19%
28°C
$741 Vol.
34%
29°C
$1,084 Vol.
33%
30°C
$1,056 Vol.
6%
31°C
$519 Vol.
3%
32°C
$66 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$131 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 29°C for Wuhan on August 13, 2026, with thundery showers or light rain expected under northerly winds.** This aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 28–29°C, reflecting trader assessment of modest cooling from typical midsummer conditions.
Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface heating by limiting solar insolation, while evaporative cooling from showers and higher humidity further cap the daily maximum. In Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate, August averages often exceed 30–35°C under clear skies, but the current synoptic setup with instability and moisture advection introduces convective activity that moderates temperatures.
The tight 33.5%–32.5% split between 28°C and 29°C stems from ensemble model spread on the precise timing and coverage of showers during afternoon peak heating hours. Minor differences in wind speed, cloud thickness, or rainfall onset can shift the observed high by 1°C. Upcoming model updates and observational data on regional moisture and instability will likely refine this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,726End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 29°C for Wuhan on August 13, 2026, with thundery showers or light rain expected under northerly winds.** This aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 28–29°C, reflecting trader assessment of modest cooling from typical midsummer conditions.
Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface heating by limiting solar insolation, while evaporative cooling from showers and higher humidity further cap the daily maximum. In Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate, August averages often exceed 30–35°C under clear skies, but the current synoptic setup with instability and moisture advection introduces convective activity that moderates temperatures.
The tight 33.5%–32.5% split between 28°C and 29°C stems from ensemble model spread on the precise timing and coverage of showers during afternoon peak heating hours. Minor differences in wind speed, cloud thickness, or rainfall onset can shift the observed high by 1°C. Upcoming model updates and observational data on regional moisture and instability will likely refine this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,726End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 29°C for Wuhan on August 13, 2026, with thundery showers or light rain expected under northerly winds.** This aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 28–29°C, reflecting trader assessment of modest cooling from typical midsummer conditions. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface heating by limiting solar insolation, while evaporative cooling from showers and higher humidity further cap the daily maximum. In Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate, August averages often exceed 30–35°C under clear skies, but the current synoptic setup with instability and moisture advection introduces convective activity that moderates temperatures. The tight 33.5%–32.5% split between 28°C and 29°C stems from ensemble model spread on the precise timing and coverage of showers during afternoon peak heating hours. Minor differences in wind speed, cloud thickness, or rainfall onset can shift the observed high by 1°C. Upcoming model updates and observational data on regional moisture and instability will likely refine this narrow range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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