Short-term ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently drive the tight clustering around 28–30°C outcomes for Wuhan's August 12 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and steering winds over the Yangtze River valley. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 32–33°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, yet an emerging El Niño pattern is enhancing moisture transport and monsoon variability, increasing the chance of localized cooling from showers or thicker cloud decks. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying these mesoscale factors ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 12?
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
29%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
$852 Vol.
4%
27°C
$688 Vol.
8%
28°C
$3,468 Vol.
20%
29°C
$686 Vol.
29%
30°C
$611 Vol.
24%
31°C
$497 Vol.
9%
32°C
$766 Vol.
4%
33°C
$685 Vol.
2%
34°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$124 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently drive the tight clustering around 28–30°C outcomes for Wuhan's August 12 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and steering winds over the Yangtze River valley. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 32–33°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, yet an emerging El Niño pattern is enhancing moisture transport and monsoon variability, increasing the chance of localized cooling from showers or thicker cloud decks. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying these mesoscale factors ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$8,647End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently drive the tight clustering around 28–30°C outcomes for Wuhan's August 12 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and steering winds over the Yangtze River valley. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 32–33°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, yet an emerging El Niño pattern is enhancing moisture transport and monsoon variability, increasing the chance of localized cooling from showers or thicker cloud decks. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying these mesoscale factors ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,647End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently drive the tight clustering around 28–30°C outcomes for Wuhan's August 12 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and steering winds over the Yangtze River valley. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 32–33°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, yet an emerging El Niño pattern is enhancing moisture transport and monsoon variability, increasing the chance of localized cooling from showers or thicker cloud decks. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying these mesoscale factors ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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