**Forecast uncertainty around precipitation and cloud cover on August 11 primarily drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 27–29°C.** In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures typically reach 32–35°C under clear, sunny conditions that maximize solar heating and low humidity. However, incoming moisture and potential thunderstorms—signaled in recent model guidance—could increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling from rain, and limit daytime heating, shifting the high downward. Current hot, mostly clear conditions through August 9–10 provide a baseline, but evolving steering patterns and convective development introduce variability that traders weigh against historical August averages near 33°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 11?
28°C 29%
29°C 20%
27°C 17%
25°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
13%
26°C
12%
27°C
17%
28°C
29%
29°C
20%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 29%
29°C 20%
27°C 17%
25°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
13%
26°C
$0 Vol.
12%
27°C
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$5 Vol.
29%
29°C
$148 Vol.
20%
30°C
$94 Vol.
9%
31°C
$45 Vol.
3%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around precipitation and cloud cover on August 11 primarily drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 27–29°C.** In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures typically reach 32–35°C under clear, sunny conditions that maximize solar heating and low humidity. However, incoming moisture and potential thunderstorms—signaled in recent model guidance—could increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling from rain, and limit daytime heating, shifting the high downward. Current hot, mostly clear conditions through August 9–10 provide a baseline, but evolving steering patterns and convective development introduce variability that traders weigh against historical August averages near 33°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$308End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around precipitation and cloud cover on August 11 primarily drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 27–29°C.** In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures typically reach 32–35°C under clear, sunny conditions that maximize solar heating and low humidity. However, incoming moisture and potential thunderstorms—signaled in recent model guidance—could increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling from rain, and limit daytime heating, shifting the high downward. Current hot, mostly clear conditions through August 9–10 provide a baseline, but evolving steering patterns and convective development introduce variability that traders weigh against historical August averages near 33°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$308End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around precipitation and cloud cover on August 11 primarily drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 27–29°C.** In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures typically reach 32–35°C under clear, sunny conditions that maximize solar heating and low humidity. However, incoming moisture and potential thunderstorms—signaled in recent model guidance—could increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling from rain, and limit daytime heating, shifting the high downward. Current hot, mostly clear conditions through August 9–10 provide a baseline, but evolving steering patterns and convective development introduce variability that traders weigh against historical August averages near 33°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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