National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a high in the upper 70s, aligning with trader consensus around 78–79 °F. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing inland heating typical of August, keeping coastal stations cooler than interior valleys. Recent model runs show limited warming potential today, with patchy fog and southwest winds near 10 mph further capping peaks near official reporting sites. Historical August averages near 80 °F provide context, yet current conditions favor the narrow 78–81 °F window reflected in market-implied odds. Updated NWS guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 8?
78-79°F 65%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 1.0%
$36,354 Vol.
$36,354 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
65%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 65%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 1.0%
$36,354 Vol.
$36,354 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
65%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a high in the upper 70s, aligning with trader consensus around 78–79 °F. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing inland heating typical of August, keeping coastal stations cooler than interior valleys. Recent model runs show limited warming potential today, with patchy fog and southwest winds near 10 mph further capping peaks near official reporting sites. Historical August averages near 80 °F provide context, yet current conditions favor the narrow 78–81 °F window reflected in market-implied odds. Updated NWS guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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