**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 10 centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting subtropical summer climatology and short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).** Typical August nighttime lows hover near 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with recent days recording minima of 26–27°C; the HKO’s current guidance for August 10 shows a forecast minimum near 28°C within a 28–32°C daily range. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while no imminent monsoon surge or tropical cyclone is expected to produce significant cooling. Model consensus and observational trends therefore concentrate implied probability on 29°C (55%) and 28°C (23%), with 30°C (18%) as the next likely bucket; probabilities fall sharply below 27°C or above 31°C absent a major forecast shift before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
27°C 15%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
15%
28°C
29%
29°C
55%
30°C
14%
31°C
8%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 55%
28°C 29%
27°C 15%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$27 Vol.
9%
25°C
$27 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$23 Vol.
55%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$24 Vol.
8%
32°C
$22 Vol.
8%
33°C
$22 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 10 centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting subtropical summer climatology and short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).** Typical August nighttime lows hover near 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with recent days recording minima of 26–27°C; the HKO’s current guidance for August 10 shows a forecast minimum near 28°C within a 28–32°C daily range.
Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while no imminent monsoon surge or tropical cyclone is expected to produce significant cooling. Model consensus and observational trends therefore concentrate implied probability on 29°C (55%) and 28°C (23%), with 30°C (18%) as the next likely bucket; probabilities fall sharply below 27°C or above 31°C absent a major forecast shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$166End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 10 centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting subtropical summer climatology and short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).** Typical August nighttime lows hover near 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with recent days recording minima of 26–27°C; the HKO’s current guidance for August 10 shows a forecast minimum near 28°C within a 28–32°C daily range.
Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while no imminent monsoon surge or tropical cyclone is expected to produce significant cooling. Model consensus and observational trends therefore concentrate implied probability on 29°C (55%) and 28°C (23%), with 30°C (18%) as the next likely bucket; probabilities fall sharply below 27°C or above 31°C absent a major forecast shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$166End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 10 centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting subtropical summer climatology and short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).** Typical August nighttime lows hover near 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with recent days recording minima of 26–27°C; the HKO’s current guidance for August 10 shows a forecast minimum near 28°C within a 28–32°C daily range. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends, while no imminent monsoon surge or tropical cyclone is expected to produce significant cooling. Model consensus and observational trends therefore concentrate implied probability on 29°C (55%) and 28°C (23%), with 30°C (18%) as the next likely bucket; probabilities fall sharply below 27°C or above 31°C absent a major forecast shift before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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