Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Moscow on August 10, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 43% and 32.5%. These outcomes reflect a cooling trend following early-August peaks near 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, shifting wind patterns, and moderate high-pressure influence that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs around 21–22°C, placing the current outlook slightly above baseline but well below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs from agencies such as Roshydromet and ECMWF, expected over the next 48 hours, will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 10?
24°C 43%
25°C 33%
23°C 13%
26°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
13%
24°C
43%
25°C
33%
26°C
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 43%
25°C 33%
23°C 13%
26°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
20°C or below
$32 Vol.
2%
21°C
$4 Vol.
4%
22°C
$5 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$25 Vol.
43%
25°C
$101 Vol.
33%
26°C
$0 Vol.
11%
27°C
$42 Vol.
5%
28°C
$27 Vol.
9%
29°C
$5 Vol.
7%
30°C or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Moscow on August 10, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 43% and 32.5%. These outcomes reflect a cooling trend following early-August peaks near 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, shifting wind patterns, and moderate high-pressure influence that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs around 21–22°C, placing the current outlook slightly above baseline but well below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs from agencies such as Roshydromet and ECMWF, expected over the next 48 hours, will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$267End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Moscow on August 10, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 43% and 32.5%. These outcomes reflect a cooling trend following early-August peaks near 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, shifting wind patterns, and moderate high-pressure influence that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs around 21–22°C, placing the current outlook slightly above baseline but well below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs from agencies such as Roshydromet and ECMWF, expected over the next 48 hours, will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$267End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Moscow on August 10, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 43% and 32.5%. These outcomes reflect a cooling trend following early-August peaks near 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, shifting wind patterns, and moderate high-pressure influence that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs around 21–22°C, placing the current outlook slightly above baseline but well below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs from agencies such as Roshydromet and ECMWF, expected over the next 48 hours, will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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