Recent forecast model consensus from sources including timeanddate and yr.no points to a high of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 9, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend after peaks near 30°C earlier in the week. Incoming Atlantic air masses, increased cloud cover, and late-day showers are expected to cap afternoon solar heating and limit convective warming, while light winds reduce mixing. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 23°C and 22°C outcomes, with trader sentiment reflecting model spread on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Early August climatology averages 22–24°C highs, providing context for the narrow probability spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
23°C 41%
22°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
37%
23°C
41%
24°C
11%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 41%
22°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
20°C
$124 Vol.
3%
21°C
$129 Vol.
13%
22°C
$548 Vol.
37%
23°C
$369 Vol.
41%
24°C
$123 Vol.
11%
25°C
$106 Vol.
4%
26°C
$17 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$356 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including timeanddate and yr.no points to a high of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 9, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend after peaks near 30°C earlier in the week. Incoming Atlantic air masses, increased cloud cover, and late-day showers are expected to cap afternoon solar heating and limit convective warming, while light winds reduce mixing. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 23°C and 22°C outcomes, with trader sentiment reflecting model spread on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Early August climatology averages 22–24°C highs, providing context for the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,963End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including timeanddate and yr.no points to a high of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 9, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend after peaks near 30°C earlier in the week. Incoming Atlantic air masses, increased cloud cover, and late-day showers are expected to cap afternoon solar heating and limit convective warming, while light winds reduce mixing. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 23°C and 22°C outcomes, with trader sentiment reflecting model spread on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Early August climatology averages 22–24°C highs, providing context for the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,963End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including timeanddate and yr.no points to a high of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 9, driven by a post-heatwave cooling trend after peaks near 30°C earlier in the week. Incoming Atlantic air masses, increased cloud cover, and late-day showers are expected to cap afternoon solar heating and limit convective warming, while light winds reduce mixing. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 23°C and 22°C outcomes, with trader sentiment reflecting model spread on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Early August climatology averages 22–24°C highs, providing context for the narrow probability spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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