Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 9 will likely reach 34–35°C, driven by the Sichuan Basin’s typical late-summer heat and humidity patterns. Persistent high-pressure ridges, minimal cloud cover early in the day, and the urban heat island effect in this densely built area support these elevated readings, while scattered afternoon thundershowers could slightly suppress maxima depending on timing and intensity. Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, but current model consensus shows modest warming relative to climatology, with resolution hinging on precise maximum observations from official stations. Trader positioning around the 34–35°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact convective development and measurement thresholds over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 9?
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
16%
34°C
29%
35°C
30%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
10%
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$349 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$433 Vol.
2%
32°C
$137 Vol.
7%
33°C
$199 Vol.
16%
34°C
$363 Vol.
29%
35°C
$510 Vol.
30%
36°C
$317 Vol.
14%
37°C or higher
$3,699 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 9 will likely reach 34–35°C, driven by the Sichuan Basin’s typical late-summer heat and humidity patterns. Persistent high-pressure ridges, minimal cloud cover early in the day, and the urban heat island effect in this densely built area support these elevated readings, while scattered afternoon thundershowers could slightly suppress maxima depending on timing and intensity. Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, but current model consensus shows modest warming relative to climatology, with resolution hinging on precise maximum observations from official stations. Trader positioning around the 34–35°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact convective development and measurement thresholds over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,056End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 9 will likely reach 34–35°C, driven by the Sichuan Basin’s typical late-summer heat and humidity patterns. Persistent high-pressure ridges, minimal cloud cover early in the day, and the urban heat island effect in this densely built area support these elevated readings, while scattered afternoon thundershowers could slightly suppress maxima depending on timing and intensity. Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, but current model consensus shows modest warming relative to climatology, with resolution hinging on precise maximum observations from official stations. Trader positioning around the 34–35°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact convective development and measurement thresholds over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,056End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 9 will likely reach 34–35°C, driven by the Sichuan Basin’s typical late-summer heat and humidity patterns. Persistent high-pressure ridges, minimal cloud cover early in the day, and the urban heat island effect in this densely built area support these elevated readings, while scattered afternoon thundershowers could slightly suppress maxima depending on timing and intensity. Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, but current model consensus shows modest warming relative to climatology, with resolution hinging on precise maximum observations from official stations. Trader positioning around the 34–35°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact convective development and measurement thresholds over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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