Recent forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service highlight an approaching cold front interacting with a ridging high-pressure system, which is steering cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover over the Western Cape ahead of August 9. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 13–14°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities clustering at those levels rather than the seasonal August average high of 17–19°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to southerly flow and potential pre-frontal showers, though small shifts in front timing or ridge strength could push the peak to 15°C or hold it at 12°C. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 9?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 9?
14°C 44%
13°C 28%
12°C 12%
15°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
12%
13°C
28%
14°C
44%
15°C
10%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 44%
13°C 28%
12°C 12%
15°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
8°C or below
$235 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$126 Vol.
3%
12°C
$55 Vol.
12%
13°C
$91 Vol.
28%
14°C
$301 Vol.
44%
15°C
$41 Vol.
10%
16°C
$113 Vol.
6%
17°C
$47 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$48 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service highlight an approaching cold front interacting with a ridging high-pressure system, which is steering cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover over the Western Cape ahead of August 9. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 13–14°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities clustering at those levels rather than the seasonal August average high of 17–19°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to southerly flow and potential pre-frontal showers, though small shifts in front timing or ridge strength could push the peak to 15°C or hold it at 12°C. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,521End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service highlight an approaching cold front interacting with a ridging high-pressure system, which is steering cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover over the Western Cape ahead of August 9. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 13–14°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities clustering at those levels rather than the seasonal August average high of 17–19°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to southerly flow and potential pre-frontal showers, though small shifts in front timing or ridge strength could push the peak to 15°C or hold it at 12°C. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,521End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service highlight an approaching cold front interacting with a ridging high-pressure system, which is steering cooler maritime air and increasing cloud cover over the Western Cape ahead of August 9. This setup favors maximum temperatures near 13–14°C, aligning with the market-implied probabilities clustering at those levels rather than the seasonal August average high of 17–19°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to southerly flow and potential pre-frontal showers, though small shifts in front timing or ridge strength could push the peak to 15°C or hold it at 12°C. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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