Recent forecast model runs from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center highlight incoming cloud cover and light precipitation on August 9 as the main factor capping Qingdao's daily maximum near 31–33 °C, producing the market's tight clustering around 32 °C (23 %) and 33 °C (32 %). Earlier August heat across northern Shandong, with highs reaching 37–39 °C in some inland districts, has given way to moderating sea-breeze influences and increasing humidity that suppress peak readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers, leaving room for 34 °C (22.5 %) if skies clear earlier or for lower outcomes if rain arrives sooner. Updated model cycles through August 8 will refine the precise maximum before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
33°C 33%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
23%
33°C
33%
34°C
22%
35°C
12%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 33%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
4%
30°C
$45 Vol.
3%
31°C
$48 Vol.
13%
32°C
$43 Vol.
23%
33°C
$177 Vol.
33%
34°C
$39 Vol.
22%
35°C
$47 Vol.
12%
36°C
$40 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center highlight incoming cloud cover and light precipitation on August 9 as the main factor capping Qingdao's daily maximum near 31–33 °C, producing the market's tight clustering around 32 °C (23 %) and 33 °C (32 %). Earlier August heat across northern Shandong, with highs reaching 37–39 °C in some inland districts, has given way to moderating sea-breeze influences and increasing humidity that suppress peak readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers, leaving room for 34 °C (22.5 %) if skies clear earlier or for lower outcomes if rain arrives sooner. Updated model cycles through August 8 will refine the precise maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$897End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center highlight incoming cloud cover and light precipitation on August 9 as the main factor capping Qingdao's daily maximum near 31–33 °C, producing the market's tight clustering around 32 °C (23 %) and 33 °C (32 %). Earlier August heat across northern Shandong, with highs reaching 37–39 °C in some inland districts, has given way to moderating sea-breeze influences and increasing humidity that suppress peak readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers, leaving room for 34 °C (22.5 %) if skies clear earlier or for lower outcomes if rain arrives sooner. Updated model cycles through August 8 will refine the precise maximum before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$897End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center highlight incoming cloud cover and light precipitation on August 9 as the main factor capping Qingdao's daily maximum near 31–33 °C, producing the market's tight clustering around 32 °C (23 %) and 33 °C (32 %). Earlier August heat across northern Shandong, with highs reaching 37–39 °C in some inland districts, has given way to moderating sea-breeze influences and increasing humidity that suppress peak readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers, leaving room for 34 °C (22.5 %) if skies clear earlier or for lower outcomes if rain arrives sooner. Updated model cycles through August 8 will refine the precise maximum before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions