**A high-pressure system dominating southeastern Brazil has kept recent maxima in São Paulo near or above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C, yet an approaching cold front and associated low-pressure system are projected to increase cloud cover and deliver up to 16 mm of rain across southern and eastern portions of the state on 7 August.** This setup favors suppressed daytime heating and a modest temperature drop relative to the prior several days, when official INMET stations recorded 27 °C highs. Numerical guidance and historical analogs for post-frontal winter days in the region support a most-probable maximum in the low- to mid-20s °C range, with the elevated 45.5 % market-implied probability on 22 °C or below reflecting trader assessment of this cooling influence and associated moisture. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by Brazil’s national meteorological network at the primary São Paulo observing sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 7?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 7?
22°C or below 46%
25°C 12%
24°C 12%
23°C 11%
NEW
$15,335 Vol.
NEW
$15,335 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
46%
23°C
11%
24°C
12%
25°C
12%
26°C
10%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 46%
25°C 12%
24°C 12%
23°C 11%
NEW
$15,335 Vol.
NEW
$15,335 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$3,987 Vol.
46%
23°C
$1,830 Vol.
11%
24°C
$1,783 Vol.
12%
25°C
$1,948 Vol.
12%
26°C
$2,158 Vol.
10%
27°C
$1,197 Vol.
7%
28°C
$952 Vol.
4%
29°C
$723 Vol.
2%
30°C
$365 Vol.
2%
31°C
$10 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A high-pressure system dominating southeastern Brazil has kept recent maxima in São Paulo near or above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C, yet an approaching cold front and associated low-pressure system are projected to increase cloud cover and deliver up to 16 mm of rain across southern and eastern portions of the state on 7 August.** This setup favors suppressed daytime heating and a modest temperature drop relative to the prior several days, when official INMET stations recorded 27 °C highs. Numerical guidance and historical analogs for post-frontal winter days in the region support a most-probable maximum in the low- to mid-20s °C range, with the elevated 45.5 % market-implied probability on 22 °C or below reflecting trader assessment of this cooling influence and associated moisture. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by Brazil’s national meteorological network at the primary São Paulo observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$15,335End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A high-pressure system dominating southeastern Brazil has kept recent maxima in São Paulo near or above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C, yet an approaching cold front and associated low-pressure system are projected to increase cloud cover and deliver up to 16 mm of rain across southern and eastern portions of the state on 7 August.** This setup favors suppressed daytime heating and a modest temperature drop relative to the prior several days, when official INMET stations recorded 27 °C highs. Numerical guidance and historical analogs for post-frontal winter days in the region support a most-probable maximum in the low- to mid-20s °C range, with the elevated 45.5 % market-implied probability on 22 °C or below reflecting trader assessment of this cooling influence and associated moisture. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by Brazil’s national meteorological network at the primary São Paulo observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,335End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A high-pressure system dominating southeastern Brazil has kept recent maxima in São Paulo near or above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C, yet an approaching cold front and associated low-pressure system are projected to increase cloud cover and deliver up to 16 mm of rain across southern and eastern portions of the state on 7 August.** This setup favors suppressed daytime heating and a modest temperature drop relative to the prior several days, when official INMET stations recorded 27 °C highs. Numerical guidance and historical analogs for post-frontal winter days in the region support a most-probable maximum in the low- to mid-20s °C range, with the elevated 45.5 % market-implied probability on 22 °C or below reflecting trader assessment of this cooling influence and associated moisture. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by Brazil’s national meteorological network at the primary São Paulo observing sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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