Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services currently cluster maximum temperatures in Milan around 31–33 °C for August 8, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C. A broad high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light winds, and clear skies has allowed strong daytime heating, while modest southerly flow advects warmer Mediterranean air. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, limiting the probability of extremes above 34 °C or below 30 °C. Updated model runs overnight showed little shift in the thermal profile, sustaining trader consensus on the low-30s range ahead of final verification from official Milan stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 8?
32°C 50%
31°C 29%
33°C 27%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 50%
31°C 29%
33°C 27%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$27 Vol.
3%
31°C
$4 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
50%
33°C
$8 Vol.
27%
34°C
$0 Vol.
12%
35°C or higher
$6 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services currently cluster maximum temperatures in Milan around 31–33 °C for August 8, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C. A broad high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light winds, and clear skies has allowed strong daytime heating, while modest southerly flow advects warmer Mediterranean air. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, limiting the probability of extremes above 34 °C or below 30 °C. Updated model runs overnight showed little shift in the thermal profile, sustaining trader consensus on the low-30s range ahead of final verification from official Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$94End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services currently cluster maximum temperatures in Milan around 31–33 °C for August 8, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C. A broad high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light winds, and clear skies has allowed strong daytime heating, while modest southerly flow advects warmer Mediterranean air. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, limiting the probability of extremes above 34 °C or below 30 °C. Updated model runs overnight showed little shift in the thermal profile, sustaining trader consensus on the low-30s range ahead of final verification from official Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$94End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services currently cluster maximum temperatures in Milan around 31–33 °C for August 8, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C. A broad high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light winds, and clear skies has allowed strong daytime heating, while modest southerly flow advects warmer Mediterranean air. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, limiting the probability of extremes above 34 °C or below 30 °C. Updated model runs overnight showed little shift in the thermal profile, sustaining trader consensus on the low-30s range ahead of final verification from official Milan stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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