Forecast models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily high near 32°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes and marine layer moderation limit extremes compared with inland valleys, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–31°C and recent model runs showing little deviation. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32–33°C reflects this consensus while assigning lower probability to outliers above 34°C, which would require unexpected weakening of the sea breeze or warmer advection. Updated IMS briefings and next global model cycles over the coming 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8?
32°C 60%
33°C 32%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
62%
33°C
43%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
2%
32°C 60%
33°C 32%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$20 Vol.
2%
30°C
$18 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C
$18 Vol.
62%
33°C
$41 Vol.
43%
34°C
$10 Vol.
5%
35°C
$15 Vol.
3%
36°C
$10 Vol.
3%
37°C
$10 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily high near 32°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes and marine layer moderation limit extremes compared with inland valleys, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–31°C and recent model runs showing little deviation. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32–33°C reflects this consensus while assigning lower probability to outliers above 34°C, which would require unexpected weakening of the sea breeze or warmer advection. Updated IMS briefings and next global model cycles over the coming 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$167End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily high near 32°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes and marine layer moderation limit extremes compared with inland valleys, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–31°C and recent model runs showing little deviation. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32–33°C reflects this consensus while assigning lower probability to outliers above 34°C, which would require unexpected weakening of the sea breeze or warmer advection. Updated IMS briefings and next global model cycles over the coming 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$167End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily high near 32°C on August 8 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes and marine layer moderation limit extremes compared with inland valleys, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–31°C and recent model runs showing little deviation. The market’s heavy weighting toward 32–33°C reflects this consensus while assigning lower probability to outliers above 34°C, which would require unexpected weakening of the sea breeze or warmer advection. Updated IMS briefings and next global model cycles over the coming 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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