Trader sentiment for San Francisco’s August 5 high centers on 72–75°F bins because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer limiting daytime heating to near-normal August values around 70–73°F. Recent clear, sunny conditions have allowed modest warming above the long-term average, supporting the slight edge for 72–73°F, while light westerly winds and possible patchy fog keep higher outcomes below 25% probability. Model consensus indicates minimal offshore flow or ridging that could push readings into the mid-70s, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins driven by small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at the downtown or airport station, with latest model runs expected to refine the range before sunset on the 5th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 5?
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 27%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 27%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
65°F or below
$92 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$22 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$59 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$350 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$995 Vol.
34%
74-75°F
$140 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$264 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$139 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$41 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$45 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for San Francisco’s August 5 high centers on 72–75°F bins because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer limiting daytime heating to near-normal August values around 70–73°F. Recent clear, sunny conditions have allowed modest warming above the long-term average, supporting the slight edge for 72–73°F, while light westerly winds and possible patchy fog keep higher outcomes below 25% probability. Model consensus indicates minimal offshore flow or ridging that could push readings into the mid-70s, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins driven by small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at the downtown or airport station, with latest model runs expected to refine the range before sunset on the 5th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,260End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for San Francisco’s August 5 high centers on 72–75°F bins because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer limiting daytime heating to near-normal August values around 70–73°F. Recent clear, sunny conditions have allowed modest warming above the long-term average, supporting the slight edge for 72–73°F, while light westerly winds and possible patchy fog keep higher outcomes below 25% probability. Model consensus indicates minimal offshore flow or ridging that could push readings into the mid-70s, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins driven by small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at the downtown or airport station, with latest model runs expected to refine the range before sunset on the 5th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,260End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for San Francisco’s August 5 high centers on 72–75°F bins because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer limiting daytime heating to near-normal August values around 70–73°F. Recent clear, sunny conditions have allowed modest warming above the long-term average, supporting the slight edge for 72–73°F, while light westerly winds and possible patchy fog keep higher outcomes below 25% probability. Model consensus indicates minimal offshore flow or ridging that could push readings into the mid-70s, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins driven by small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at the downtown or airport station, with latest model runs expected to refine the range before sunset on the 5th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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