**Persistent high-pressure dominance across the Korean Peninsula is anchoring overnight lows near 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 6, 2026.** Midsummer conditions with light winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are expected to keep minimum temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological baselines where August nocturnal lows typically stabilize between 24–27°C absent typhoon passages or strong frontal systems. Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) show consensus on this range, with small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects at the Incheon station—used for official resolution—creating the tight spread between the 44.5% probability on 27°C and 37% on 28°C. Recent days have featured similar stable patterns with observed minima around 26°C, supporting trader emphasis on these two outcomes over cooler or warmer thresholds. Updated short-range KMA guidance and next model cycles will refine wind and moisture details that ultimately determine the exact recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
27°C 45%
28°C 37%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
45%
28°C
37%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
28°C 37%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$7 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$23 Vol.
3%
26°C
$79 Vol.
14%
27°C
$231 Vol.
45%
28°C
$51 Vol.
37%
29°C
$149 Vol.
8%
30°C
$23 Vol.
3%
31°C
$65 Vol.
1%
32°C
$43 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure dominance across the Korean Peninsula is anchoring overnight lows near 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 6, 2026.** Midsummer conditions with light winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are expected to keep minimum temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological baselines where August nocturnal lows typically stabilize between 24–27°C absent typhoon passages or strong frontal systems.
Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) show consensus on this range, with small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects at the Incheon station—used for official resolution—creating the tight spread between the 44.5% probability on 27°C and 37% on 28°C. Recent days have featured similar stable patterns with observed minima around 26°C, supporting trader emphasis on these two outcomes over cooler or warmer thresholds. Updated short-range KMA guidance and next model cycles will refine wind and moisture details that ultimately determine the exact recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$696End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure dominance across the Korean Peninsula is anchoring overnight lows near 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 6, 2026.** Midsummer conditions with light winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are expected to keep minimum temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological baselines where August nocturnal lows typically stabilize between 24–27°C absent typhoon passages or strong frontal systems.
Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) show consensus on this range, with small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects at the Incheon station—used for official resolution—creating the tight spread between the 44.5% probability on 27°C and 37% on 28°C. Recent days have featured similar stable patterns with observed minima around 26°C, supporting trader emphasis on these two outcomes over cooler or warmer thresholds. Updated short-range KMA guidance and next model cycles will refine wind and moisture details that ultimately determine the exact recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$696End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high-pressure dominance across the Korean Peninsula is anchoring overnight lows near 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 6, 2026.** Midsummer conditions with light winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are expected to keep minimum temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological baselines where August nocturnal lows typically stabilize between 24–27°C absent typhoon passages or strong frontal systems. Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) show consensus on this range, with small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects at the Incheon station—used for official resolution—creating the tight spread between the 44.5% probability on 27°C and 37% on 28°C. Recent days have featured similar stable patterns with observed minima around 26°C, supporting trader emphasis on these two outcomes over cooler or warmer thresholds. Updated short-range KMA guidance and next model cycles will refine wind and moisture details that ultimately determine the exact recorded low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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