Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow keeping the official Los Angeles high (typically measured at LAX) in the upper 70s on August 3, aligning with the tight market clustering at 78–79°F (41%) and 76–77°F (35%). This reflects typical late-summer coastal suppression of inland heat, with limited afternoon clearing and light westerly winds preventing stronger warming. Historical August averages near 84–86°F provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns and short-range runs favor the lower side of seasonal norms. Minor model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explains the narrow spread between leading bins, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
$29 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$309 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$29 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$77 Vol.
35%
78-79°F
$145 Vol.
41%
80-81°F
$106 Vol.
14%
82-83°F
$24 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$24 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$39 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$15 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow keeping the official Los Angeles high (typically measured at LAX) in the upper 70s on August 3, aligning with the tight market clustering at 78–79°F (41%) and 76–77°F (35%). This reflects typical late-summer coastal suppression of inland heat, with limited afternoon clearing and light westerly winds preventing stronger warming. Historical August averages near 84–86°F provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns and short-range runs favor the lower side of seasonal norms. Minor model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explains the narrow spread between leading bins, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$809End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow keeping the official Los Angeles high (typically measured at LAX) in the upper 70s on August 3, aligning with the tight market clustering at 78–79°F (41%) and 76–77°F (35%). This reflects typical late-summer coastal suppression of inland heat, with limited afternoon clearing and light westerly winds preventing stronger warming. Historical August averages near 84–86°F provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns and short-range runs favor the lower side of seasonal norms. Minor model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explains the narrow spread between leading bins, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$809End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow keeping the official Los Angeles high (typically measured at LAX) in the upper 70s on August 3, aligning with the tight market clustering at 78–79°F (41%) and 76–77°F (35%). This reflects typical late-summer coastal suppression of inland heat, with limited afternoon clearing and light westerly winds preventing stronger warming. Historical August averages near 84–86°F provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns and short-range runs favor the lower side of seasonal norms. Minor model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explains the narrow spread between leading bins, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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