**High pressure building across southern England is positioning London for above-average warmth on August 2, with official Met Office guidance highlighting sunny conditions and maximum temperatures likely reaching 27–28°C.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (43.5%) and 26°C/28°C (combined ~45.5%), reflecting tight clustering around model consensus for a warm but not extreme day. Long-range outlooks from late July noted near- or above-normal temperatures, warmest in the south, with potential for hot spells under higher-than-average pressure—conditions that favor clear skies, light winds, and enhanced solar heating plus the urban heat island effect in central London. Recent model runs continue to support this without indicating rapid changes or significant cooling fronts. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from exact station readings (e.g., Heathrow vs. urban sites), possible localized cloud, or minor forecast revisions in the final 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities spread across the 26–28°C band while heavily discounting extremes below 25°C or above 29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 2?
Highest temperature in London on August 2?
27°C 44%
26°C 27%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
NEW
$24,666 Vol.
NEW
$24,666 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
11%
26°C
27%
27°C
44%
28°C
18%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 27%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
NEW
$24,666 Vol.
NEW
$24,666 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
$739 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,409 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,528 Vol.
11%
26°C
$5,562 Vol.
27%
27°C
$4,498 Vol.
44%
28°C
$1,503 Vol.
18%
29°C
$2,099 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,644 Vol.
1%
31°C
$724 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$447 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building across southern England is positioning London for above-average warmth on August 2, with official Met Office guidance highlighting sunny conditions and maximum temperatures likely reaching 27–28°C.**
This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (43.5%) and 26°C/28°C (combined ~45.5%), reflecting tight clustering around model consensus for a warm but not extreme day. Long-range outlooks from late July noted near- or above-normal temperatures, warmest in the south, with potential for hot spells under higher-than-average pressure—conditions that favor clear skies, light winds, and enhanced solar heating plus the urban heat island effect in central London. Recent model runs continue to support this without indicating rapid changes or significant cooling fronts.
Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from exact station readings (e.g., Heathrow vs. urban sites), possible localized cloud, or minor forecast revisions in the final 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities spread across the 26–28°C band while heavily discounting extremes below 25°C or above 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$24,666End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building across southern England is positioning London for above-average warmth on August 2, with official Met Office guidance highlighting sunny conditions and maximum temperatures likely reaching 27–28°C.**
This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (43.5%) and 26°C/28°C (combined ~45.5%), reflecting tight clustering around model consensus for a warm but not extreme day. Long-range outlooks from late July noted near- or above-normal temperatures, warmest in the south, with potential for hot spells under higher-than-average pressure—conditions that favor clear skies, light winds, and enhanced solar heating plus the urban heat island effect in central London. Recent model runs continue to support this without indicating rapid changes or significant cooling fronts.
Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from exact station readings (e.g., Heathrow vs. urban sites), possible localized cloud, or minor forecast revisions in the final 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities spread across the 26–28°C band while heavily discounting extremes below 25°C or above 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,666End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**High pressure building across southern England is positioning London for above-average warmth on August 2, with official Met Office guidance highlighting sunny conditions and maximum temperatures likely reaching 27–28°C.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (43.5%) and 26°C/28°C (combined ~45.5%), reflecting tight clustering around model consensus for a warm but not extreme day. Long-range outlooks from late July noted near- or above-normal temperatures, warmest in the south, with potential for hot spells under higher-than-average pressure—conditions that favor clear skies, light winds, and enhanced solar heating plus the urban heat island effect in central London. Recent model runs continue to support this without indicating rapid changes or significant cooling fronts. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from exact station readings (e.g., Heathrow vs. urban sites), possible localized cloud, or minor forecast revisions in the final 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities spread across the 26–28°C band while heavily discounting extremes below 25°C or above 29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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