Latest meteorological guidance from models like ECMWF and GFS points to a typical early-August pattern over Beijing, with southerly flow and moderate humidity supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 2, tempered by possible afternoon thunderstorms that could cap the peak. Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C because ensemble spreads remain modest on timing of convection and cloud cover, while historical analogs from recent summers show similar conditions rarely exceeding 36°C without stronger high-pressure ridging. Official China Meteorological Administration monitoring and urban station data will resolve the exact maximum, with slight upward bias possible from the heat-island effect in central districts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 2?
34°C 33%
35°C 25%
33°C 21%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
21%
34°C
33%
35°C
25%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 33%
35°C 25%
33°C 21%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
29°C or below
$976 Vol.
1%
30°C
$520 Vol.
2%
31°C
$812 Vol.
4%
32°C
$349 Vol.
9%
33°C
$550 Vol.
21%
34°C
$266 Vol.
33%
35°C
$884 Vol.
25%
36°C
$1,430 Vol.
9%
37°C
$884 Vol.
2%
38°C
$91 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance from models like ECMWF and GFS points to a typical early-August pattern over Beijing, with southerly flow and moderate humidity supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 2, tempered by possible afternoon thunderstorms that could cap the peak. Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C because ensemble spreads remain modest on timing of convection and cloud cover, while historical analogs from recent summers show similar conditions rarely exceeding 36°C without stronger high-pressure ridging. Official China Meteorological Administration monitoring and urban station data will resolve the exact maximum, with slight upward bias possible from the heat-island effect in central districts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,007End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance from models like ECMWF and GFS points to a typical early-August pattern over Beijing, with southerly flow and moderate humidity supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 2, tempered by possible afternoon thunderstorms that could cap the peak. Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C because ensemble spreads remain modest on timing of convection and cloud cover, while historical analogs from recent summers show similar conditions rarely exceeding 36°C without stronger high-pressure ridging. Official China Meteorological Administration monitoring and urban station data will resolve the exact maximum, with slight upward bias possible from the heat-island effect in central districts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,007End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological guidance from models like ECMWF and GFS points to a typical early-August pattern over Beijing, with southerly flow and moderate humidity supporting daytime highs near 32–34°C on August 2, tempered by possible afternoon thunderstorms that could cap the peak. Trader consensus clusters around 33–35°C because ensemble spreads remain modest on timing of convection and cloud cover, while historical analogs from recent summers show similar conditions rarely exceeding 36°C without stronger high-pressure ridging. Official China Meteorological Administration monitoring and urban station data will resolve the exact maximum, with slight upward bias possible from the heat-island effect in central districts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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