Traders see the highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 1 clustered tightly around 29–31°C because official forecasts and real-time observations place the daytime maximum near 28–30°C amid typical early-August subtropical conditions. Morning readings near 25°C, combined with high humidity above 75% and variable cloud cover, limit rapid afternoon warming, while light winds and potential scattered showers further cap peaks. Model consensus from regional agencies shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any convective activity or urban heat island effects within the city. Historical climatology indicates early-August highs average near 31°C but frequently fall to 28–29°C with monsoonal moisture, keeping the market-implied odds balanced across the narrow range rather than favoring an outlier.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 1?
30°C 39%
29°C 29%
31°C 23.1%
32°C 7.1%
NEW
$58,033 Vol.
NEW
$58,033 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
29%
30°C
39%
31°C
23%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 39%
29°C 29%
31°C 23.1%
32°C 7.1%
NEW
$58,033 Vol.
NEW
$58,033 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
23°C or below
$1,990 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,522 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10,332 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,416 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,433 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,155 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,915 Vol.
29%
30°C
$4,675 Vol.
39%
31°C
$4,711 Vol.
23%
32°C
$3,422 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$9,462 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 1 clustered tightly around 29–31°C because official forecasts and real-time observations place the daytime maximum near 28–30°C amid typical early-August subtropical conditions. Morning readings near 25°C, combined with high humidity above 75% and variable cloud cover, limit rapid afternoon warming, while light winds and potential scattered showers further cap peaks. Model consensus from regional agencies shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any convective activity or urban heat island effects within the city. Historical climatology indicates early-August highs average near 31°C but frequently fall to 28–29°C with monsoonal moisture, keeping the market-implied odds balanced across the narrow range rather than favoring an outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$58,033End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 1 clustered tightly around 29–31°C because official forecasts and real-time observations place the daytime maximum near 28–30°C amid typical early-August subtropical conditions. Morning readings near 25°C, combined with high humidity above 75% and variable cloud cover, limit rapid afternoon warming, while light winds and potential scattered showers further cap peaks. Model consensus from regional agencies shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any convective activity or urban heat island effects within the city. Historical climatology indicates early-August highs average near 31°C but frequently fall to 28–29°C with monsoonal moisture, keeping the market-implied odds balanced across the narrow range rather than favoring an outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,033End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 1 clustered tightly around 29–31°C because official forecasts and real-time observations place the daytime maximum near 28–30°C amid typical early-August subtropical conditions. Morning readings near 25°C, combined with high humidity above 75% and variable cloud cover, limit rapid afternoon warming, while light winds and potential scattered showers further cap peaks. Model consensus from regional agencies shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any convective activity or urban heat island effects within the city. Historical climatology indicates early-August highs average near 31°C but frequently fall to 28–29°C with monsoonal moisture, keeping the market-implied odds balanced across the narrow range rather than favoring an outlier.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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