Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 2?
25°C 26%
24°C 25%
26°C 23%
27°C 14%
NEW
$18,344 Vol.
NEW
$18,344 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
23%
27°C
14%
28°C
11%
29°C or higher
7%
25°C 26%
24°C 25%
26°C 23%
27°C 14%
NEW
$18,344 Vol.
NEW
$18,344 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
19°C or below
$334 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$796 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,050 Vol.
3%
24°C
$5,715 Vol.
25%
25°C
$3,509 Vol.
26%
26°C
$1,067 Vol.
23%
27°C
$1,180 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1,712 Vol.
11%
29°C or higher
$2,237 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$18,344End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,344End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 2 are most likely to settle between 24–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. High humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon regime limit daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and potential brief clear spells introduce variability across ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor below-normal maxima. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against resolution criteria tied to official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau observations, with fresh model updates expected overnight to refine the narrow probability spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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