**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thundery conditions are capping daytime heating in Chengdu on August 1, keeping the official high near the 26–27°C range that traders currently favor.** Multiple forecasts from sources tracking the Sichuan Basin highlight overcast skies, moderate northerly winds, and scattered to heavy precipitation that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. These factors align with the market’s tight split—26°C at 44.5% and 27°C at 41.5%—while the lower 12.5% odds on 28°C reflect residual uncertainty about brief clearing periods that could allow a modest afternoon rise. Seasonal context reinforces the outlook: August norms in Chengdu run 30–32°C, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture from regional monsoon influences and basin topography that traps clouds and humidity. Official criteria for the daily maximum (typically measured at the primary meteorological station under standard exposure) will resolve the market once the full observational record is finalized, with any model revisions or last-hour convective bursts representing the main variables that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 1?
27°C 44%
26°C 33%
28°C 17%
29°C 9%
$41,139 Vol.
$41,139 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
33%
27°C
44%
28°C
17%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 33%
28°C 17%
29°C 9%
$41,139 Vol.
$41,139 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$702 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,445 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,826 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,457 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5,520 Vol.
33%
27°C
$1,790 Vol.
44%
28°C
$1,691 Vol.
17%
29°C
$2,163 Vol.
9%
30°C
$3,470 Vol.
1%
31°C
$4,734 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$11,341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thundery conditions are capping daytime heating in Chengdu on August 1, keeping the official high near the 26–27°C range that traders currently favor.** Multiple forecasts from sources tracking the Sichuan Basin highlight overcast skies, moderate northerly winds, and scattered to heavy precipitation that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. These factors align with the market’s tight split—26°C at 44.5% and 27°C at 41.5%—while the lower 12.5% odds on 28°C reflect residual uncertainty about brief clearing periods that could allow a modest afternoon rise.
Seasonal context reinforces the outlook: August norms in Chengdu run 30–32°C, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture from regional monsoon influences and basin topography that traps clouds and humidity. Official criteria for the daily maximum (typically measured at the primary meteorological station under standard exposure) will resolve the market once the full observational record is finalized, with any model revisions or last-hour convective bursts representing the main variables that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$41,139End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thundery conditions are capping daytime heating in Chengdu on August 1, keeping the official high near the 26–27°C range that traders currently favor.** Multiple forecasts from sources tracking the Sichuan Basin highlight overcast skies, moderate northerly winds, and scattered to heavy precipitation that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. These factors align with the market’s tight split—26°C at 44.5% and 27°C at 41.5%—while the lower 12.5% odds on 28°C reflect residual uncertainty about brief clearing periods that could allow a modest afternoon rise.
Seasonal context reinforces the outlook: August norms in Chengdu run 30–32°C, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture from regional monsoon influences and basin topography that traps clouds and humidity. Official criteria for the daily maximum (typically measured at the primary meteorological station under standard exposure) will resolve the market once the full observational record is finalized, with any model revisions or last-hour convective bursts representing the main variables that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,139End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thundery conditions are capping daytime heating in Chengdu on August 1, keeping the official high near the 26–27°C range that traders currently favor.** Multiple forecasts from sources tracking the Sichuan Basin highlight overcast skies, moderate northerly winds, and scattered to heavy precipitation that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. These factors align with the market’s tight split—26°C at 44.5% and 27°C at 41.5%—while the lower 12.5% odds on 28°C reflect residual uncertainty about brief clearing periods that could allow a modest afternoon rise. Seasonal context reinforces the outlook: August norms in Chengdu run 30–32°C, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture from regional monsoon influences and basin topography that traps clouds and humidity. Official criteria for the daily maximum (typically measured at the primary meteorological station under standard exposure) will resolve the market once the full observational record is finalized, with any model revisions or last-hour convective bursts representing the main variables that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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