Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 will likely range 15–20 °C under persistent high pressure and above-normal warmth linked to the developing El Niño. Ensemble runs show limited overnight cooling with dew points supporting lows near 17–19 °C, while slight model spread around steering flow and any late-day cloud cover keeps probabilities clustered between 17 °C or below and the low-20s. Historical August climatology (average low ~15 °C) provides context, yet recent runs favor milder readings, explaining the tight market distribution and emphasis on the next 48-hour model updates from official agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 3?
17°C or below 35%
19°C 25%
24°C 24%
20°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
17°C or below
35%
18°C
18%
19°C
25%
20°C
22%
21°C
19%
22°C
16%
23°C
16%
24°C
24%
25°C
22%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
1%
17°C or below 35%
19°C 25%
24°C 24%
20°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
17°C or below
$29 Vol.
35%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
16%
24°C
$276 Vol.
24%
25°C
$175 Vol.
22%
26°C
$32 Vol.
15%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 will likely range 15–20 °C under persistent high pressure and above-normal warmth linked to the developing El Niño. Ensemble runs show limited overnight cooling with dew points supporting lows near 17–19 °C, while slight model spread around steering flow and any late-day cloud cover keeps probabilities clustered between 17 °C or below and the low-20s. Historical August climatology (average low ~15 °C) provides context, yet recent runs favor milder readings, explaining the tight market distribution and emphasis on the next 48-hour model updates from official agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$512End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 will likely range 15–20 °C under persistent high pressure and above-normal warmth linked to the developing El Niño. Ensemble runs show limited overnight cooling with dew points supporting lows near 17–19 °C, while slight model spread around steering flow and any late-day cloud cover keeps probabilities clustered between 17 °C or below and the low-20s. Historical August climatology (average low ~15 °C) provides context, yet recent runs favor milder readings, explaining the tight market distribution and emphasis on the next 48-hour model updates from official agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$512End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 3 will likely range 15–20 °C under persistent high pressure and above-normal warmth linked to the developing El Niño. Ensemble runs show limited overnight cooling with dew points supporting lows near 17–19 °C, while slight model spread around steering flow and any late-day cloud cover keeps probabilities clustered between 17 °C or below and the low-20s. Historical August climatology (average low ~15 °C) provides context, yet recent runs favor milder readings, explaining the tight market distribution and emphasis on the next 48-hour model updates from official agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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