Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a maximum near 23°C for Cape Town on August 3 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, serving as the main driver behind the market's tight spread among 21–23°C outcomes. Typical August highs average 17–18°C in the city's Mediterranean winter climate, so this elevated projection reflects transient high-pressure ridging and reduced marine influence. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, creating the observed clustering around 20–23°C with lower probabilities for extremes. Updated runs from SAWS and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 3?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 3?
21°C 28%
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
16%
21°C
28%
22°C
25%
23°C
20%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 28%
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C
$5 Vol.
14%
20°C
$5 Vol.
16%
21°C
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$22 Vol.
3%
25°C
$20 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a maximum near 23°C for Cape Town on August 3 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, serving as the main driver behind the market's tight spread among 21–23°C outcomes. Typical August highs average 17–18°C in the city's Mediterranean winter climate, so this elevated projection reflects transient high-pressure ridging and reduced marine influence. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, creating the observed clustering around 20–23°C with lower probabilities for extremes. Updated runs from SAWS and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$72End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a maximum near 23°C for Cape Town on August 3 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, serving as the main driver behind the market's tight spread among 21–23°C outcomes. Typical August highs average 17–18°C in the city's Mediterranean winter climate, so this elevated projection reflects transient high-pressure ridging and reduced marine influence. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, creating the observed clustering around 20–23°C with lower probabilities for extremes. Updated runs from SAWS and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$72End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a maximum near 23°C for Cape Town on August 3 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, serving as the main driver behind the market's tight spread among 21–23°C outcomes. Typical August highs average 17–18°C in the city's Mediterranean winter climate, so this elevated projection reflects transient high-pressure ridging and reduced marine influence. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, creating the observed clustering around 20–23°C with lower probabilities for extremes. Updated runs from SAWS and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the peak temperature and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions