Current forecasts for Taipei on August 1 point to a daily maximum near 36°C under typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, moderate southerly flow, and limited afternoon convection, aligning with Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus. Historical August averages hover around 32–34°C, but recent days have shown peaks near or slightly above this level without extreme heat-wave setups or typhoon influences that could alter the trajectory. The tight market concentration on 36°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow window for significant deviation before the daily high is recorded. Unseasonal cloud buildup or heavier showers could cap readings at 35°C or below, while unusually clear skies might allow a brief spike toward 37°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 1?
36°C 97%
37°C 4%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$58,914 Vol.
$58,914 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
97%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 97%
37°C 4%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$58,914 Vol.
$58,914 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
$3,813 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,660 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,873 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$9,054 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$10,256 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$9,137 Vol.
97%
37°C
$8,150 Vol.
4%
38°C
$4,621 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$5,439 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Taipei on August 1 point to a daily maximum near 36°C under typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, moderate southerly flow, and limited afternoon convection, aligning with Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus. Historical August averages hover around 32–34°C, but recent days have shown peaks near or slightly above this level without extreme heat-wave setups or typhoon influences that could alter the trajectory. The tight market concentration on 36°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow window for significant deviation before the daily high is recorded. Unseasonal cloud buildup or heavier showers could cap readings at 35°C or below, while unusually clear skies might allow a brief spike toward 37°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$58,914End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Taipei on August 1 point to a daily maximum near 36°C under typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, moderate southerly flow, and limited afternoon convection, aligning with Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus. Historical August averages hover around 32–34°C, but recent days have shown peaks near or slightly above this level without extreme heat-wave setups or typhoon influences that could alter the trajectory. The tight market concentration on 36°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow window for significant deviation before the daily high is recorded. Unseasonal cloud buildup or heavier showers could cap readings at 35°C or below, while unusually clear skies might allow a brief spike toward 37°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,914End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Taipei on August 1 point to a daily maximum near 36°C under typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, moderate southerly flow, and limited afternoon convection, aligning with Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus. Historical August averages hover around 32–34°C, but recent days have shown peaks near or slightly above this level without extreme heat-wave setups or typhoon influences that could alter the trajectory. The tight market concentration on 36°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow window for significant deviation before the daily high is recorded. Unseasonal cloud buildup or heavier showers could cap readings at 35°C or below, while unusually clear skies might allow a brief spike toward 37°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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