Current forecast models for Taipei on August 2 project a daily maximum near 35–36°C, supporting the tight market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include timing of any afternoon cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions that allow stronger solar heating in the urban basin. The urban heat island effect and low wind speeds typical of the region can push localized measurements higher, while higher humidity and residual monsoon moisture introduce variability. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, but short-term model updates from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 2?
37°C 37%
36°C 34%
38°C 18%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
34%
37°C
37%
38°C
18%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
36°C 34%
38°C 18%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
30°C or below
$207 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$620 Vol.
2%
35°C
$829 Vol.
10%
36°C
$350 Vol.
34%
37°C
$421 Vol.
37%
38°C
$1,716 Vol.
18%
39°C
$1,069 Vol.
3%
40°C or higher
$570 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Taipei on August 2 project a daily maximum near 35–36°C, supporting the tight market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include timing of any afternoon cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions that allow stronger solar heating in the urban basin. The urban heat island effect and low wind speeds typical of the region can push localized measurements higher, while higher humidity and residual monsoon moisture introduce variability. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, but short-term model updates from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,795End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Taipei on August 2 project a daily maximum near 35–36°C, supporting the tight market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include timing of any afternoon cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions that allow stronger solar heating in the urban basin. The urban heat island effect and low wind speeds typical of the region can push localized measurements higher, while higher humidity and residual monsoon moisture introduce variability. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, but short-term model updates from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,795End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Taipei on August 2 project a daily maximum near 35–36°C, supporting the tight market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include timing of any afternoon cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions that allow stronger solar heating in the urban basin. The urban heat island effect and low wind speeds typical of the region can push localized measurements higher, while higher humidity and residual monsoon moisture introduce variability. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, but short-term model updates from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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