Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models point to a peak temperature in Wuhan of 34–36°C on August 1, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 36°C. In Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate, August typically features average highs near 34°C amid high humidity and weak steering winds that limit rapid changes. Current hourly data show temperatures climbing to 35°C by afternoon with isolated thunderstorms possible, consistent with historical patterns where extremes above 37°C occur less frequently this early in the month. Updated model consensus and real-time observations have kept probabilities stable around these central outcomes while capping the chance of 38°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 1?
36°C 63%
37°C 25%
35°C 13%
38°C 3%
$13,431 Vol.
$13,431 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
13%
36°C
63%
37°C
25%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 63%
37°C 25%
35°C 13%
38°C 3%
$13,431 Vol.
$13,431 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
30°C or below
$226 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$660 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,351 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,552 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,911 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,134 Vol.
13%
36°C
$1,472 Vol.
63%
37°C
$1,319 Vol.
25%
38°C
$1,694 Vol.
3%
39°C
$1,020 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$1,089 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models point to a peak temperature in Wuhan of 34–36°C on August 1, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 36°C. In Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate, August typically features average highs near 34°C amid high humidity and weak steering winds that limit rapid changes. Current hourly data show temperatures climbing to 35°C by afternoon with isolated thunderstorms possible, consistent with historical patterns where extremes above 37°C occur less frequently this early in the month. Updated model consensus and real-time observations have kept probabilities stable around these central outcomes while capping the chance of 38°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$13,431End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models point to a peak temperature in Wuhan of 34–36°C on August 1, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 36°C. In Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate, August typically features average highs near 34°C amid high humidity and weak steering winds that limit rapid changes. Current hourly data show temperatures climbing to 35°C by afternoon with isolated thunderstorms possible, consistent with historical patterns where extremes above 37°C occur less frequently this early in the month. Updated model consensus and real-time observations have kept probabilities stable around these central outcomes while capping the chance of 38°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,431End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and other models point to a peak temperature in Wuhan of 34–36°C on August 1, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 36°C. In Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate, August typically features average highs near 34°C amid high humidity and weak steering winds that limit rapid changes. Current hourly data show temperatures climbing to 35°C by afternoon with isolated thunderstorms possible, consistent with historical patterns where extremes above 37°C occur less frequently this early in the month. Updated model consensus and real-time observations have kept probabilities stable around these central outcomes while capping the chance of 38°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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