Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and urban heat-island effects typically produce August daytime maxima of 34–38°C under high humidity and regional high-pressure patterns, aligning forecast guidance with the market's leading outcomes around 36–38°C. Persistent warmth through late July without extreme heatwave intensification, combined with afternoon thunderstorm potential that could limit peaks below 39°C, supports the 41.5% implied probability on 37°C as the most likely station reading. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies emphasizes precise urban-station thresholds over broader model runs, with traders incorporating historical climatology and latest ensemble outputs showing limited deviation from this range on August 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 1?
37°C 45%
36°C 21%
38°C 21%
35°C 9%
$18,433 Vol.
$18,433 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
21%
37°C
45%
38°C
21%
39°C
9%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 45%
36°C 21%
38°C 21%
35°C 9%
$18,433 Vol.
$18,433 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
$3,206 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,195 Vol.
9%
36°C
$1,358 Vol.
21%
37°C
$1,648 Vol.
45%
38°C
$2,563 Vol.
21%
39°C
$1,435 Vol.
9%
40°C
$2,292 Vol.
2%
41°C
$2,246 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$700 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and urban heat-island effects typically produce August daytime maxima of 34–38°C under high humidity and regional high-pressure patterns, aligning forecast guidance with the market's leading outcomes around 36–38°C. Persistent warmth through late July without extreme heatwave intensification, combined with afternoon thunderstorm potential that could limit peaks below 39°C, supports the 41.5% implied probability on 37°C as the most likely station reading. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies emphasizes precise urban-station thresholds over broader model runs, with traders incorporating historical climatology and latest ensemble outputs showing limited deviation from this range on August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$18,433End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and urban heat-island effects typically produce August daytime maxima of 34–38°C under high humidity and regional high-pressure patterns, aligning forecast guidance with the market's leading outcomes around 36–38°C. Persistent warmth through late July without extreme heatwave intensification, combined with afternoon thunderstorm potential that could limit peaks below 39°C, supports the 41.5% implied probability on 37°C as the most likely station reading. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies emphasizes precise urban-station thresholds over broader model runs, with traders incorporating historical climatology and latest ensemble outputs showing limited deviation from this range on August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,433End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and urban heat-island effects typically produce August daytime maxima of 34–38°C under high humidity and regional high-pressure patterns, aligning forecast guidance with the market's leading outcomes around 36–38°C. Persistent warmth through late July without extreme heatwave intensification, combined with afternoon thunderstorm potential that could limit peaks below 39°C, supports the 41.5% implied probability on 37°C as the most likely station reading. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies emphasizes precise urban-station thresholds over broader model runs, with traders incorporating historical climatology and latest ensemble outputs showing limited deviation from this range on August 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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