Current ensemble forecasts from global models point to a peak daytime temperature near 32°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 2 under typical midsummer conditions, with strong solar heating, light winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation allowing maximum diurnal warming. Coastal Incheon may experience modest moderation from sea breezes compared to inland Seoul stations, introducing minor uncertainty in exact readings. Recent model runs show convergence on highs of 31–33°C, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering at 43% for 32°C and 25% each for 31°C and 33°C. These align with ongoing warm, humid patterns typical of early August, where historical averages reach about 29–30°C but recent persistence of elevated temperatures supports the upward shift in trader positioning ahead of final observational data.