Singapore's equatorial climate typically delivers afternoon highs near 31°C in early August, but an emerging El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is driving warmer, drier conditions that support elevated maxima. Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and meteorological services currently project 32–34°C on August 2 amid afternoon thundery showers that may cap peak readings, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 32°C and 33°C. Recent model runs and climatological analogs indicate limited potential for 34°C+ absent suppressed convection, while historical data show such outliers remain infrequent even during enhanced monsoon periods. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and regional sea-surface temperature anomalies as the dominant near-term drivers ahead of the daily official observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 2?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 2?
32°C 50%
33°C 32%
31°C 18%
30°C 3%
NEW
$11,227 Vol.
NEW
$11,227 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
32%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 32%
31°C 18%
30°C 3%
NEW
$11,227 Vol.
NEW
$11,227 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
26°C or below
$227 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,065 Vol.
1%
30°C
$629 Vol.
3%
31°C
$784 Vol.
18%
32°C
$1,216 Vol.
50%
33°C
$4,850 Vol.
32%
34°C
$809 Vol.
3%
35°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$535 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial climate typically delivers afternoon highs near 31°C in early August, but an emerging El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is driving warmer, drier conditions that support elevated maxima. Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and meteorological services currently project 32–34°C on August 2 amid afternoon thundery showers that may cap peak readings, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 32°C and 33°C. Recent model runs and climatological analogs indicate limited potential for 34°C+ absent suppressed convection, while historical data show such outliers remain infrequent even during enhanced monsoon periods. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and regional sea-surface temperature anomalies as the dominant near-term drivers ahead of the daily official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$11,227End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial climate typically delivers afternoon highs near 31°C in early August, but an emerging El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is driving warmer, drier conditions that support elevated maxima. Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and meteorological services currently project 32–34°C on August 2 amid afternoon thundery showers that may cap peak readings, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 32°C and 33°C. Recent model runs and climatological analogs indicate limited potential for 34°C+ absent suppressed convection, while historical data show such outliers remain infrequent even during enhanced monsoon periods. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and regional sea-surface temperature anomalies as the dominant near-term drivers ahead of the daily official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,227End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial climate typically delivers afternoon highs near 31°C in early August, but an emerging El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is driving warmer, drier conditions that support elevated maxima. Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and meteorological services currently project 32–34°C on August 2 amid afternoon thundery showers that may cap peak readings, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 32°C and 33°C. Recent model runs and climatological analogs indicate limited potential for 34°C+ absent suppressed convection, while historical data show such outliers remain infrequent even during enhanced monsoon periods. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and regional sea-surface temperature anomalies as the dominant near-term drivers ahead of the daily official observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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