Recent forecasts and climatological data point to typical mid-summer conditions over the Red Sea coastal plain, where strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and a persistent thermal trough favor daytime maxima near 38–40 °C. Historical August averages for Jeddah reach 38 °C, with recent observations already touching 41 °C, keeping the market’s closely bunched probabilities on 38 °C (20 %), 39 °C (23.5 %), and 40 °C+ (30 %) aligned with the narrow range between normal and modestly above-normal heat. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as Red Sea breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day convective suppression that could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 4?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 4?
40°C or higher 46%
39°C 26%
37°C 19%
38°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
11%
37°C
19%
38°C
19%
39°C
26%
40°C or higher
37%
40°C or higher 46%
39°C 26%
37°C 19%
38°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$20 Vol.
2%
36°C
$0 Vol.
11%
37°C
$21 Vol.
19%
38°C
$0 Vol.
19%
39°C
$0 Vol.
26%
40°C or higher
$11 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and climatological data point to typical mid-summer conditions over the Red Sea coastal plain, where strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and a persistent thermal trough favor daytime maxima near 38–40 °C. Historical August averages for Jeddah reach 38 °C, with recent observations already touching 41 °C, keeping the market’s closely bunched probabilities on 38 °C (20 %), 39 °C (23.5 %), and 40 °C+ (30 %) aligned with the narrow range between normal and modestly above-normal heat. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as Red Sea breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day convective suppression that could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$72End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and climatological data point to typical mid-summer conditions over the Red Sea coastal plain, where strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and a persistent thermal trough favor daytime maxima near 38–40 °C. Historical August averages for Jeddah reach 38 °C, with recent observations already touching 41 °C, keeping the market’s closely bunched probabilities on 38 °C (20 %), 39 °C (23.5 %), and 40 °C+ (30 %) aligned with the narrow range between normal and modestly above-normal heat. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as Red Sea breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day convective suppression that could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$72End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and climatological data point to typical mid-summer conditions over the Red Sea coastal plain, where strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and a persistent thermal trough favor daytime maxima near 38–40 °C. Historical August averages for Jeddah reach 38 °C, with recent observations already touching 41 °C, keeping the market’s closely bunched probabilities on 38 °C (20 %), 39 °C (23.5 %), and 40 °C+ (30 %) aligned with the narrow range between normal and modestly above-normal heat. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as Red Sea breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day convective suppression that could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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