Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over southern Pakistan are moderating maximum temperatures in Karachi, keeping the August 4 outlook centered on 32–34 °C. Pakistan Meteorological Department reports indicate showers and southwesterly winds through early August, reducing insolation while elevating humidity and limiting daytime heating compared with typical clear-sky conditions. Long-term climatology shows August averages near 32 °C, with seasonal forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department noting slightly above-normal means yet current model consensus favoring values near or just above that baseline. Minor differences among 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and extent of convective clouds or isolated showers expected on the 4th, variables that updated numerical guidance will refine in coming days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 4?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 4?
33°C 40%
34°C 34%
32°C 23%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
23%
33°C
40%
34°C
34%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
34°C 34%
32°C 23%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$120 Vol.
1%
30°C
$135 Vol.
3%
31°C
$135 Vol.
4%
32°C
$272 Vol.
23%
33°C
$322 Vol.
40%
34°C
$307 Vol.
34%
35°C
$135 Vol.
5%
36°C
$23 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$115 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over southern Pakistan are moderating maximum temperatures in Karachi, keeping the August 4 outlook centered on 32–34 °C. Pakistan Meteorological Department reports indicate showers and southwesterly winds through early August, reducing insolation while elevating humidity and limiting daytime heating compared with typical clear-sky conditions. Long-term climatology shows August averages near 32 °C, with seasonal forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department noting slightly above-normal means yet current model consensus favoring values near or just above that baseline. Minor differences among 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and extent of convective clouds or isolated showers expected on the 4th, variables that updated numerical guidance will refine in coming days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,896End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over southern Pakistan are moderating maximum temperatures in Karachi, keeping the August 4 outlook centered on 32–34 °C. Pakistan Meteorological Department reports indicate showers and southwesterly winds through early August, reducing insolation while elevating humidity and limiting daytime heating compared with typical clear-sky conditions. Long-term climatology shows August averages near 32 °C, with seasonal forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department noting slightly above-normal means yet current model consensus favoring values near or just above that baseline. Minor differences among 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and extent of convective clouds or isolated showers expected on the 4th, variables that updated numerical guidance will refine in coming days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,896End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over southern Pakistan are moderating maximum temperatures in Karachi, keeping the August 4 outlook centered on 32–34 °C. Pakistan Meteorological Department reports indicate showers and southwesterly winds through early August, reducing insolation while elevating humidity and limiting daytime heating compared with typical clear-sky conditions. Long-term climatology shows August averages near 32 °C, with seasonal forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department noting slightly above-normal means yet current model consensus favoring values near or just above that baseline. Minor differences among 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and extent of convective clouds or isolated showers expected on the 4th, variables that updated numerical guidance will refine in coming days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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