Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula, combined with clear skies and light winds, underpin the tight clustering of market odds around 36–38°C for Busan’s August 2 maximum. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime peaks near 35–37°C, with coastal sea-breeze moderation and modest humidity limiting outliers above 38°C while preventing a drop below 36°C. Recent heatwave emergency warnings for Busan and surrounding areas, extending into early August, reflect sustained warm advection and strong insolation that have already produced comparable readings this week. Minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome between the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 2?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 2?
37°C 37%
36°C or below 33%
38°C 22%
39°C 11%
NEW
$30,743 Vol.
NEW
$30,743 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
36°C or below
33%
37°C
37%
38°C
22%
39°C
11%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
36°C or below 33%
38°C 22%
39°C 11%
NEW
$30,743 Vol.
NEW
$30,743 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
36°C or below
$6,831 Vol.
33%
37°C
$3,562 Vol.
37%
38°C
$4,642 Vol.
22%
39°C
$6,475 Vol.
11%
40°C
$2,773 Vol.
2%
41°C
$2,688 Vol.
1%
42°C
$1,565 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$1,289 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
46°C or higher
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula, combined with clear skies and light winds, underpin the tight clustering of market odds around 36–38°C for Busan’s August 2 maximum. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime peaks near 35–37°C, with coastal sea-breeze moderation and modest humidity limiting outliers above 38°C while preventing a drop below 36°C. Recent heatwave emergency warnings for Busan and surrounding areas, extending into early August, reflect sustained warm advection and strong insolation that have already produced comparable readings this week. Minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$30,743End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula, combined with clear skies and light winds, underpin the tight clustering of market odds around 36–38°C for Busan’s August 2 maximum. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime peaks near 35–37°C, with coastal sea-breeze moderation and modest humidity limiting outliers above 38°C while preventing a drop below 36°C. Recent heatwave emergency warnings for Busan and surrounding areas, extending into early August, reflect sustained warm advection and strong insolation that have already produced comparable readings this week. Minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,743End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula, combined with clear skies and light winds, underpin the tight clustering of market odds around 36–38°C for Busan’s August 2 maximum. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate daytime peaks near 35–37°C, with coastal sea-breeze moderation and modest humidity limiting outliers above 38°C while preventing a drop below 36°C. Recent heatwave emergency warnings for Busan and surrounding areas, extending into early August, reflect sustained warm advection and strong insolation that have already produced comparable readings this week. Minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variables that could nudge the outcome between the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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