Current forecast models for Guangzhou on August 2 indicate afternoon convective activity and isolated thunderstorms driven by high moisture from the South China Sea and typical subtropical summer instability, which are expected to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 29–31°C. These conditions align with climatological averages for early August, where daily highs often reach 32°C but drop with cloud cover and rainfall. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and urban heat island effects, with new model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine resolution criteria for the highest observed temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2?
30°C 35%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
35%
31°C
26%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$349 Vol.
2%
28°C
$436 Vol.
9%
29°C
$385 Vol.
22%
30°C
$365 Vol.
35%
31°C
$297 Vol.
26%
32°C
$1,206 Vol.
12%
33°C
$1,258 Vol.
3%
34°C
$258 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$463 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Guangzhou on August 2 indicate afternoon convective activity and isolated thunderstorms driven by high moisture from the South China Sea and typical subtropical summer instability, which are expected to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 29–31°C. These conditions align with climatological averages for early August, where daily highs often reach 32°C but drop with cloud cover and rainfall. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and urban heat island effects, with new model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine resolution criteria for the highest observed temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,844End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Guangzhou on August 2 indicate afternoon convective activity and isolated thunderstorms driven by high moisture from the South China Sea and typical subtropical summer instability, which are expected to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 29–31°C. These conditions align with climatological averages for early August, where daily highs often reach 32°C but drop with cloud cover and rainfall. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and urban heat island effects, with new model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine resolution criteria for the highest observed temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,844End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Guangzhou on August 2 indicate afternoon convective activity and isolated thunderstorms driven by high moisture from the South China Sea and typical subtropical summer instability, which are expected to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 29–31°C. These conditions align with climatological averages for early August, where daily highs often reach 32°C but drop with cloud cover and rainfall. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and urban heat island effects, with new model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine resolution criteria for the highest observed temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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