Recent numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around 32–33°C maxima for Ankara on August 6, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles split on whether daytime heating under persistent high pressure and clear skies will push the peak slightly higher. Ankara’s plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation, combined with urban heat-island effects, amplifies afternoon temperatures when light northerly winds limit mixing; small differences in modeled insolation timing or boundary-layer moisture therefore separate the two leading outcomes. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and updated model cycles expected before resolution will refine whether the highest reading registers at or above 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 6?
33°C 51%
32°C 38%
34°C 7%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
38%
33°C
51%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
32°C 38%
34°C 7%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$573 Vol.
1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
2%
30°C
$75 Vol.
3%
31°C
$88 Vol.
7%
32°C
$88 Vol.
38%
33°C
$1,234 Vol.
51%
34°C
$63 Vol.
7%
35°C
$15 Vol.
2%
36°C
$16 Vol.
1%
37°C
$41 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around 32–33°C maxima for Ankara on August 6, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles split on whether daytime heating under persistent high pressure and clear skies will push the peak slightly higher. Ankara’s plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation, combined with urban heat-island effects, amplifies afternoon temperatures when light northerly winds limit mixing; small differences in modeled insolation timing or boundary-layer moisture therefore separate the two leading outcomes. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and updated model cycles expected before resolution will refine whether the highest reading registers at or above 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,245End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around 32–33°C maxima for Ankara on August 6, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles split on whether daytime heating under persistent high pressure and clear skies will push the peak slightly higher. Ankara’s plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation, combined with urban heat-island effects, amplifies afternoon temperatures when light northerly winds limit mixing; small differences in modeled insolation timing or boundary-layer moisture therefore separate the two leading outcomes. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and updated model cycles expected before resolution will refine whether the highest reading registers at or above 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,245End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around 32–33°C maxima for Ankara on August 6, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles split on whether daytime heating under persistent high pressure and clear skies will push the peak slightly higher. Ankara’s plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation, combined with urban heat-island effects, amplifies afternoon temperatures when light northerly winds limit mixing; small differences in modeled insolation timing or boundary-layer moisture therefore separate the two leading outcomes. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and updated model cycles expected before resolution will refine whether the highest reading registers at or above 33°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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